Premier League · Matchweek 9

Aston Villa FC vs Fulham FC Prediction

Match essentials

Kick-off (UK)
Sat 31 Oct, 20:00 (GMT+0)
Competition
Premier League
Round
Matchweek 9
Venue
Villa Park, Birmingham, England

United Matchday prediction

Aston Villa FC win43%
Draw29%
Fulham FC win28%
Predicted score
1–0
Over 2.5 goals
37%
Under 2.5 goals
63%
BTTS yes
43%
Over 1.5 goals
64%
Over 3.5 goals
18%
BTTS no
57%
Expected goals
1.23 – 0.94

Medium confidence

Why the model favours this outcome

The model sees Aston Villa FC's home attacking output as weaker than the Premier League baseline. The model credits Fulham FC with an above-average away defensive record.

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–014.0%
  • 1–113.2%
  • 0–011.3%
  • 0–110.7%
  • 2–08.6%
  • 2–18.1%
  • 1–26.2%
  • 0–25.0%

Team comparison

StatisticAston Villa FCFulham FC
Matches played66
Points per match0.830.33
Goals per match1.001.00
Goals conceded per match1.831.67
Home / away goals scored31
Home / away goals conceded53
Last 5 points52
Last 5 goals scored64
Last 5 goals conceded77
Win percentage17%0%

Aston Villa FC recent form

LDLWD

Fulham FC recent form

LLDDL

Recent form

Aston Villa FC

2W 2D 1L in the last 5 · 9 scored, 8 conceded

  • Dvs Brentford FC2–2
  • Wat Tottenham Hotspur FC3–2
  • Lvs Nottingham Forest FC1–2
  • Wat Club Brugge KV3–2
  • Dat Hull City AFC0–0

Fulham FC

0W 2D 3L in the last 5 · 4 scored, 7 conceded

  • Lat Ipswich Town FC1–2
  • Dvs Manchester United FC1–1
  • Dat Liverpool FC0–0
  • Lvs Crystal Palace FC2–3
  • Lat Sunderland AFC0–1

Team news

Where to watch (UK)

Premier League matches are typically shown in the UK by Sky Sports, TNT Sports, Amazon Prime Video (selected rounds), BBC Match of the Day (highlights). Kick-off is Sat 31 Oct, 20:00 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.

Saturday 15:00 UK kick-offs are not broadcast live in the UK.

Model transparency

Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 10 October 2026
Last updated: 10 October 2026
Status: Live

How predictions work

Prediction record

Matches predicted
567
1X2 accuracy
46.7%
BTTS accuracy
56.8%
Over 2.5 accuracy
58.0%
Exact score
10.9%

Related predictions

Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.