Premier League
Manchester United FC vs Tottenham Hotspur FC
Home
69%
Draw
20%
Away
12%
- Predicted score: 2–0Over 2.5: 52%BTTS: 44%
Low confidenceFull prediction
Premier League · Matchweek 2
Aston Villa FC vs Arsenal FC Prediction
Match essentials
- Kick-off (UK)
- Mon 31 Aug, 20:00 (BST)
- Competition
- Premier League
- Round
- Matchweek 2
- Venue
- Villa Park, Birmingham, England
United Matchday prediction
Aston Villa FC win19%
Draw19%
Arsenal FC win63%
- Predicted score
- 1–2
- Over 2.5 goals
- 71%
- Under 2.5 goals
- 29%
- BTTS yes
- 65%
- Over 1.5 goals
- 88%
- Over 3.5 goals
- 50%
- BTTS no
- 35%
- Expected goals
- 1.27 – 2.41
Low confidence
Why the model favours this outcome
The model sees Aston Villa FC's home attacking output as weaker than the Premier League baseline. The model credits Arsenal FC with an above-average away defensive record. Arsenal FC carry an above-average away scoring record into the fixture. The model expects a relatively open scoring environment in this match.
Most likely scorelines
- 1–29.3%
- 1–17.7%
- 1–37.5%
- 0–27.4%
- 0–16.1%
- 0–35.9%
- 2–25.9%
- 2–14.9%
Team comparison
| Statistic | Aston Villa FC | Arsenal FC |
|---|---|---|
| Matches played | 5 | 5 |
| Points per match | 0.80 | 2.40 |
| Goals per match | 0.80 | 1.60 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.80 | 0.80 |
| Home / away goals scored | 1 | 3 |
| Home / away goals conceded | 3 | 3 |
| Last 5 points | 4 | 12 |
| Last 5 goals scored | 4 | 8 |
| Last 5 goals conceded | 9 | 4 |
| Win percentage | 20% | 80% |
Aston Villa FC recent form
LLDLW
Arsenal FC recent form
WWWWL
Recent form
Aston Villa FC
2W 1D 2L in the last 5 · 9 scored, 11 conceded
- Lat Brighton & Hove Albion FC0–4
- Wat Manchester City FC2–1
- Wvs Liverpool FC4–2
- Dat Burnley FC2–2
- Lvs Tottenham Hotspur FC1–2
Arsenal FC
4W 0D 1L in the last 5 · 11 scored, 6 conceded
- Wvs Coventry City FC3–0
- Lat Paris Saint-Germain4–5
- Wat Crystal Palace FC2–1
- Wvs Burnley FC1–0
- Wat West Ham United FC1–0
Team news
Aston Villa FC
Arsenal FC
- Kai Havertz returning to Arsenal to be assessed after suffering injury for Germany against Netherlands
- Transfer rumors, news: Arsenal want Yildiz as Al Hilal add Martinelli to short list
- Arsenal starlet Max Dowman to link up with England senior squad after mass withdrawals - Paper Talk
- Mykhailo Mudryk preferred Arsenal move before £88m Chelsea transfer - Paper Talk
Where to watch (UK)
Premier League matches are typically shown in the UK by Sky Sports, TNT Sports, Amazon Prime Video (selected rounds), BBC Match of the Day (highlights). Kick-off is Mon 31 Aug, 20:00 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.
Saturday 15:00 UK kick-offs are not broadcast live in the UK.
Model transparency
Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 13 August 2026
Last updated: 31 August 2026
Status: Locked
Prediction record
- Matches predicted
- 510
- 1X2 accuracy
- 46.9%
- BTTS accuracy
- 57.5%
- Over 2.5 accuracy
- 58.8%
- Exact score
- 10.6%
Related predictions
Premier League
Coventry City FC vs Newcastle United FC
Home
16%
Draw
20%
Away
64%
- Predicted score: 0–2Over 2.5: 60%BTTS: 55%
Low confidenceFull prediction
Premier League
Leeds United FC vs Manchester United FC
Home
53%
Draw
24%
Away
22%
- Predicted score: 1–0Over 2.5: 50%BTTS: 51%
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Premier League
Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs Crystal Palace FC
Home
75%
Draw
15%
Away
10%
- Predicted score: 2–0Over 2.5: 67%BTTS: 52%
Low confidenceFull prediction
Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.