Ligue 1 · Matchweek 6

AS Monaco FC vs Toulouse FC Prediction

Sat 10 Oct, 19:45

Match essentials

Kick-off (UK): Sat 10 Oct, 19:45 (BST)
Competition: Ligue 1
Round: Matchweek 6
Venue: To be confirmed

United Matchday prediction

AS Monaco FC win65%

Draw19%

Toulouse FC win16%

Predicted score: 2–1
Over 2.5 goals: 65%
Under 2.5 goals: 35%
BTTS yes: 58%

Over 1.5 goals: 84%
Over 3.5 goals: 42%
BTTS no: 42%
Expected goals: 2.28 – 1.05

Low confidence

Why the model favours this outcome

Toulouse FC carry an above-average away scoring record into the fixture. The model expects a relatively open scoring environment in this match. Recent results also favour AS Monaco FC, whose points-per-match rate over the last five games is above average. Sample size is still small this season, so the model leans more heavily on longer-term ratings and lowers its confidence accordingly.

Most likely scorelines

2–19.8%
2–09.3%
1–18.6%
1–08.2%
3–17.4%
3–07.1%
2–25.1%
1–24.5%

Team comparison

Statistic	AS Monaco FC	Toulouse FC
Matches played	5	5
Points per match	2.60	1.00
Goals per match	1.60	1.40
Goals conceded per match	0.60	1.80
Home / away goals scored	4	4
Home / away goals conceded	1	4
Last 5 points	13	5
Last 5 goals scored	8	7
Last 5 goals conceded	3	9
Win percentage	80%	20%

AS Monaco FC recent form

WWWDW

Toulouse FC recent form

LDLDW

Recent form

AS Monaco FC

4W 1D 0L in the last 5 · 8 scored, 3 conceded

Wvs Racing Club de Lens2–1
Dat RC Strasbourg Alsace1–1
Wat Paris Saint-Germain2–1
Wvs Olympique de Marseille2–0
Wat Le Havre AC1–0

Toulouse FC

1W 2D 2L in the last 5 · 7 scored, 9 conceded

Wvs Le Havre AC3–2
Dat FC Lorient2–2
Lvs Lille OSC0–1
Dat Stade Brestois 292–2
Lvs Olympique Lyonnais0–2

Where to watch (UK)

Ligue 1 matches are typically shown in the UK by TNT Sports. Kick-off is Sat 10 Oct, 19:45 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.