Ligue 1
ES Troyes AC vs Le Havre AC
Home
39%
Draw
25%
Away
36%
- Predicted score: 1–1Over 2.5: 56%BTTS: 59%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Ligue 1 · Matchweek 6
AS Monaco FC vs Toulouse FC Prediction
Match essentials
- Kick-off (UK)
- Sat 10 Oct, 19:45 (BST)
- Competition
- Ligue 1
- Round
- Matchweek 6
- Venue
- To be confirmed
United Matchday prediction
AS Monaco FC win65%
Draw19%
Toulouse FC win16%
- Predicted score
- 2–1
- Over 2.5 goals
- 64%
- Under 2.5 goals
- 36%
- BTTS yes
- 58%
- Over 1.5 goals
- 84%
- Over 3.5 goals
- 42%
- BTTS no
- 42%
- Expected goals
- 2.28 – 1.04
Low confidence
Why the model favours this outcome
Toulouse FC carry an above-average away scoring record into the fixture. The model expects a relatively open scoring environment in this match. Recent results also favour AS Monaco FC, whose points-per-match rate over the last five games is above average. Sample size is still small this season, so the model leans more heavily on longer-term ratings and lowers its confidence accordingly.
Most likely scorelines
- 2–19.8%
- 2–09.4%
- 1–18.6%
- 1–08.2%
- 3–17.4%
- 3–07.1%
- 2–25.1%
- 1–24.5%
Team comparison
| Statistic | AS Monaco FC | Toulouse FC |
|---|---|---|
| Matches played | 10 | 10 |
| Points per match | 1.60 | 1.30 |
| Goals per match | 1.30 | 1.50 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.10 | 1.40 |
| Home / away goals scored | 7 | 9 |
| Home / away goals conceded | 4 | 8 |
| Last 5 points | 3 | 8 |
| Last 5 goals scored | 5 | 8 |
| Last 5 goals conceded | 8 | 5 |
| Win percentage | 40% | 30% |
AS Monaco FC recent form
DLDLD
Toulouse FC recent form
DWDLW
Recent form
AS Monaco FC
4W 1D 0L in the last 5 · 8 scored, 3 conceded
- Wvs Racing Club de Lens2–1
- Dat RC Strasbourg Alsace1–1
- Wat Paris Saint-Germain2–1
- Wvs Olympique de Marseille2–0
- Wat Le Havre AC1–0
Toulouse FC
1W 2D 2L in the last 5 · 7 scored, 9 conceded
- Wvs Le Havre AC3–2
- Dat FC Lorient2–2
- Lvs Lille OSC0–1
- Dat Stade Brestois 292–2
- Lvs Olympique Lyonnais0–2
Where to watch (UK)
Ligue 1 matches are typically shown in the UK by TNT Sports. Kick-off is Sat 10 Oct, 19:45 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.
Model transparency
Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 19 September 2026
Last updated: 10 October 2026
Status: Locked
Prediction record
- Matches predicted
- 1000
- 1X2 accuracy
- 49.4%
- BTTS accuracy
- 55.9%
- Over 2.5 accuracy
- 58.6%
- Exact score
- 10.3%
Related predictions
Ligue 1
Racing Club de Lens vs Toulouse FC
Home
47%
Draw
22%
Away
31%
- Predicted score: 1–1Over 2.5: 68%BTTS: 68%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Ligue 1
Stade Brestois 29 vs Paris FC
Home
45%
Draw
25%
Away
31%
- Predicted score: 1–1Over 2.5: 55%BTTS: 58%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.