Ligue 1
ES Troyes AC vs Le Havre AC
Home
39%
Draw
25%
Away
36%
- Predicted score: 1–1Over 2.5: 56%BTTS: 59%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Ligue 1 · Matchweek 5
AS Monaco FC vs Racing Club de Lens Prediction
Match essentials
- Kick-off (UK)
- Fri 18 Sept, 19:45 (BST)
- Competition
- Ligue 1
- Round
- Matchweek 5
- Venue
- To be confirmed
United Matchday prediction
AS Monaco FC win62%
Draw21%
Racing Club de Lens win17%
- Predicted score
- 2–0
- Over 2.5 goals
- 58%
- Under 2.5 goals
- 42%
- BTTS yes
- 54%
- Over 1.5 goals
- 81%
- Over 3.5 goals
- 36%
- BTTS no
- 46%
- Expected goals
- 2.05 – 0.98
Low confidence
Why the model favours this outcome
Racing Club de Lens have conceded at a higher rate away from home than the competition average. The model expects fewer away goals given AS Monaco FC's home defensive numbers. The model expects a relatively open scoring environment in this match. Recent results also favour AS Monaco FC, whose points-per-match rate over the last five games is above average.
Most likely scorelines
- 2–010.1%
- 2–110.0%
- 1–09.9%
- 1–19.7%
- 3–06.9%
- 3–16.8%
- 2–24.9%
- 0–04.8%
Team comparison
| Statistic | AS Monaco FC | Racing Club de Lens |
|---|---|---|
| Matches played | 10 | 10 |
| Points per match | 1.60 | 1.30 |
| Goals per match | 1.30 | 1.70 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.10 | 1.50 |
| Home / away goals scored | 7 | 7 |
| Home / away goals conceded | 4 | 8 |
| Last 5 points | 3 | 9 |
| Last 5 goals scored | 5 | 8 |
| Last 5 goals conceded | 8 | 6 |
| Win percentage | 40% | 40% |
AS Monaco FC recent form
DLDLD
Racing Club de Lens recent form
WWWLL
Recent form
AS Monaco FC
3W 1D 1L in the last 5 · 10 scored, 7 conceded
- Dat RC Strasbourg Alsace1–1
- Wat Paris Saint-Germain2–1
- Wvs Olympique de Marseille2–0
- Wat Le Havre AC1–0
- Lat RC Strasbourg Alsace4–5
Racing Club de Lens
2W 1D 2L in the last 5 · 11 scored, 9 conceded
- Dat Le Mans FC2–2
- Wat SK Slavia Praha3–2
- Lvs FC Lorient0–1
- Lat RC Strasbourg Alsace1–2
- Wvs AJ Auxerre5–2
Where to watch (UK)
Ligue 1 matches are typically shown in the UK by TNT Sports. Kick-off is Fri 18 Sept, 19:45 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.
Model transparency
Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 29 August 2026
Last updated: 18 September 2026
Status: Locked
Prediction record
- Matches predicted
- 1000
- 1X2 accuracy
- 49.4%
- BTTS accuracy
- 55.9%
- Over 2.5 accuracy
- 58.6%
- Exact score
- 10.3%
Related predictions
Ligue 1
Racing Club de Lens vs Toulouse FC
Home
47%
Draw
22%
Away
31%
- Predicted score: 1–1Over 2.5: 68%BTTS: 68%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Ligue 1
Stade Brestois 29 vs Paris FC
Home
45%
Draw
25%
Away
31%
- Predicted score: 1–1Over 2.5: 55%BTTS: 58%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.