Ligue 1 · Matchweek 5

AS Monaco FC vs Racing Club de Lens Prediction

Match essentials

Kick-off (UK)
Fri 18 Sept, 19:45 (BST)
Competition
Ligue 1
Round
Matchweek 5
Venue
To be confirmed

United Matchday prediction

AS Monaco FC win62%
Draw21%
Racing Club de Lens win17%
Predicted score
2–0
Over 2.5 goals
58%
Under 2.5 goals
42%
BTTS yes
54%
Over 1.5 goals
81%
Over 3.5 goals
36%
BTTS no
46%
Expected goals
2.05 – 0.98

Low confidence

Why the model favours this outcome

Racing Club de Lens have conceded at a higher rate away from home than the competition average. The model expects fewer away goals given AS Monaco FC's home defensive numbers. The model expects a relatively open scoring environment in this match. Recent results also favour AS Monaco FC, whose points-per-match rate over the last five games is above average.

Most likely scorelines

  • 2–010.1%
  • 2–110.0%
  • 1–09.9%
  • 1–19.7%
  • 3–06.9%
  • 3–16.8%
  • 2–24.9%
  • 0–04.8%

Team comparison

StatisticAS Monaco FCRacing Club de Lens
Matches played55
Points per match2.600.80
Goals per match1.601.80
Goals conceded per match0.601.80
Home / away goals scored44
Home / away goals conceded16
Last 5 points134
Last 5 goals scored89
Last 5 goals conceded39
Win percentage80%20%

AS Monaco FC recent form

WWWDW

Racing Club de Lens recent form

WLLDL

Recent form

AS Monaco FC

3W 1D 1L in the last 5 · 10 scored, 7 conceded

  • Dat RC Strasbourg Alsace1–1
  • Wat Paris Saint-Germain2–1
  • Wvs Olympique de Marseille2–0
  • Wat Le Havre AC1–0
  • Lat RC Strasbourg Alsace4–5

Racing Club de Lens

2W 1D 2L in the last 5 · 11 scored, 9 conceded

  • Dat Le Mans FC2–2
  • Wat SK Slavia Praha3–2
  • Lvs FC Lorient0–1
  • Lat RC Strasbourg Alsace1–2
  • Wvs AJ Auxerre5–2

Where to watch (UK)

Ligue 1 matches are typically shown in the UK by TNT Sports. Kick-off is Fri 18 Sept, 19:45 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.

Model transparency

Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 29 August 2026
Last updated: 18 September 2026
Status: Locked

How predictions work

Prediction record

Matches predicted
510
1X2 accuracy
46.9%
BTTS accuracy
57.5%
Over 2.5 accuracy
58.8%
Exact score
10.6%

Related predictions

Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.