Ligue 1
ES Troyes AC vs Le Havre AC
Home
39%
Draw
25%
Away
36%
- Predicted score: 1–1Over 2.5: 56%BTTS: 59%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Ligue 1 · Matchweek 11
AS Monaco FC vs AJ Auxerre Prediction
Match essentials
- Kick-off (UK)
- Sat 21 Nov, 19:45 (GMT)
- Competition
- Ligue 1
- Round
- Matchweek 11
- Venue
- To be confirmed
United Matchday prediction
AS Monaco FC win67%
Draw17%
AJ Auxerre win16%
- Predicted score
- 2–1
- Over 2.5 goals
- 71%
- Under 2.5 goals
- 29%
- BTTS yes
- 63%
- Over 1.5 goals
- 88%
- Over 3.5 goals
- 50%
- BTTS no
- 37%
- Expected goals
- 2.53 – 1.16
Medium confidence
Why the model favours this outcome
Away defensive numbers work against AJ Auxerre, who have shipped goals above the Ligue 1 average on the road. Combined attacking and defensive numbers point toward a higher-scoring game than average.
Most likely scorelines
- 2–19.3%
- 2–08.0%
- 3–17.8%
- 1–17.3%
- 3–06.7%
- 1–06.3%
- 2–25.4%
- 4–15.0%
Team comparison
| Statistic | AS Monaco FC | AJ Auxerre |
|---|---|---|
| Matches played | 10 | 10 |
| Points per match | 1.60 | 1.00 |
| Goals per match | 1.30 | 1.30 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.10 | 2.40 |
| Home / away goals scored | 7 | 8 |
| Home / away goals conceded | 4 | 18 |
| Last 5 points | 3 | 4 |
| Last 5 goals scored | 5 | 6 |
| Last 5 goals conceded | 8 | 12 |
| Win percentage | 40% | 30% |
AS Monaco FC recent form
DLDLD
AJ Auxerre recent form
LWDLL
Recent form
AS Monaco FC
0W 3D 2L in the last 5 · 5 scored, 8 conceded
- Dat Le Mans FC1–1
- Lat Paris FC1–3
- Dvs Lille OSC1–1
- Lat FC Lorient0–1
- Dvs Toulouse FC2–2
AJ Auxerre
1W 1D 3L in the last 5 · 6 scored, 12 conceded
- Lvs Paris FC0–1
- Lat RC Strasbourg Alsace1–5
- Dvs Le Mans FC1–1
- Wat Le Havre AC3–1
- Lat Stade Rennais FC 19011–4
Where to watch (UK)
Ligue 1 matches are typically shown in the UK by TNT Sports. Kick-off is Sat 21 Nov, 19:45 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.
Model transparency
Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 31 October 2026
Last updated: 13 November 2026
Status: Live
Prediction record
- Matches predicted
- 1000
- 1X2 accuracy
- 49.4%
- BTTS accuracy
- 55.9%
- Over 2.5 accuracy
- 58.6%
- Exact score
- 10.3%
Related predictions
Ligue 1
Racing Club de Lens vs Toulouse FC
Home
47%
Draw
22%
Away
31%
- Predicted score: 1–1Over 2.5: 68%BTTS: 68%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Ligue 1
Stade Brestois 29 vs Paris FC
Home
45%
Draw
25%
Away
31%
- Predicted score: 1–1Over 2.5: 55%BTTS: 58%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.