Ligue 1 · Matchweek 5

Angers SCO vs ES Troyes AC Prediction

Sat 19 Sept, 19:45

Match essentials

Kick-off (UK): Sat 19 Sept, 19:45 (BST)
Competition: Ligue 1
Round: Matchweek 5
Venue: To be confirmed

United Matchday prediction

Angers SCO win35%

Draw26%

ES Troyes AC win38%

Predicted score: 1–1
Over 2.5 goals: 48%
Under 2.5 goals: 52%
BTTS yes: 53%

Over 1.5 goals: 73%
Over 3.5 goals: 26%
BTTS no: 47%
Expected goals: 1.26 – 1.33

Low confidence

Why the model favours this outcome

Angers SCO have scored at a below-average rate at home, which limits the model's home goal expectation. Statistically the two sides are closely matched, so the draw probability stays comparatively high. Sample size is still small this season, so the model leans more heavily on longer-term ratings and lowers its confidence accordingly.

Most likely scorelines

1–112.6%
0–110.0%
1–09.5%
1–28.3%
2–17.9%
0–07.5%
0–26.6%
2–06.0%

Team comparison

Statistic	Angers SCO	ES Troyes AC
Matches played	5	5
Points per match	1.40	0.80
Goals per match	1.20	0.80
Goals conceded per match	1.00	2.20
Home / away goals scored	3	2
Home / away goals conceded	4	5
Last 5 points	7	4
Last 5 goals scored	6	4
Last 5 goals conceded	5	11
Win percentage	40%	20%

Angers SCO recent form

LWLDW

ES Troyes AC recent form

DWLLL

Recent form

Angers SCO

1W 2D 2L in the last 5 · 5 scored, 6 conceded

Dat Le Havre AC0–0
Lvs Stade Rennais FC 19011–2
Wat AJ Auxerre3–1
Lvs Lille OSC0–2
Dat Stade Brestois 291–1

ES Troyes AC

1W 1D 2L in the last 4 · 4 scored, 9 conceded

Lat Lille OSC0–2
Lvs RC Strasbourg Alsace2–6
Wat FC Lorient2–1
Dvs Paris FC0–0

Where to watch (UK)

Ligue 1 matches are typically shown in the UK by TNT Sports. Kick-off is Sat 19 Sept, 19:45 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.