Ligue 1
ES Troyes AC vs Le Havre AC
Home
39%
Draw
25%
Away
36%
- Predicted score: 1–1Over 2.5: 56%BTTS: 59%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Ligue 1 · Matchweek 5
Angers SCO vs ES Troyes AC Prediction
Match essentials
- Kick-off (UK)
- Sat 19 Sept, 19:45 (BST)
- Competition
- Ligue 1
- Round
- Matchweek 5
- Venue
- To be confirmed
United Matchday prediction
Angers SCO win35%
Draw26%
ES Troyes AC win38%
- Predicted score
- 1–1
- Over 2.5 goals
- 48%
- Under 2.5 goals
- 52%
- BTTS yes
- 53%
- Over 1.5 goals
- 73%
- Over 3.5 goals
- 26%
- BTTS no
- 47%
- Expected goals
- 1.26 – 1.33
Low confidence
Why the model favours this outcome
Angers SCO have scored at a below-average rate at home, which limits the model's home goal expectation. Statistically the two sides are closely matched, so the draw probability stays comparatively high. Sample size is still small this season, so the model leans more heavily on longer-term ratings and lowers its confidence accordingly.
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.6%
- 0–110.0%
- 1–09.5%
- 1–28.3%
- 2–17.9%
- 0–07.5%
- 0–26.6%
- 2–06.0%
Team comparison
| Statistic | Angers SCO | ES Troyes AC |
|---|---|---|
| Matches played | 10 | 10 |
| Points per match | 0.80 | 0.80 |
| Goals per match | 0.90 | 0.70 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.90 | 1.70 |
| Home / away goals scored | 5 | 2 |
| Home / away goals conceded | 11 | 6 |
| Last 5 points | 1 | 4 |
| Last 5 goals scored | 3 | 3 |
| Last 5 goals conceded | 14 | 6 |
| Win percentage | 20% | 20% |
Angers SCO recent form
LLDLL
ES Troyes AC recent form
LLDWL
Recent form
Angers SCO
1W 2D 2L in the last 5 · 5 scored, 6 conceded
- Dat Le Havre AC0–0
- Lvs Stade Rennais FC 19011–2
- Wat AJ Auxerre3–1
- Lvs Lille OSC0–2
- Dat Stade Brestois 291–1
ES Troyes AC
1W 1D 2L in the last 4 · 4 scored, 9 conceded
- Lat Lille OSC0–2
- Lvs RC Strasbourg Alsace2–6
- Wat FC Lorient2–1
- Dvs Paris FC0–0
Where to watch (UK)
Ligue 1 matches are typically shown in the UK by TNT Sports. Kick-off is Sat 19 Sept, 19:45 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.
Model transparency
Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 29 August 2026
Last updated: 19 September 2026
Status: Locked
Prediction record
- Matches predicted
- 1000
- 1X2 accuracy
- 49.4%
- BTTS accuracy
- 55.9%
- Over 2.5 accuracy
- 58.6%
- Exact score
- 10.3%
Related predictions
Ligue 1
Racing Club de Lens vs Toulouse FC
Home
47%
Draw
22%
Away
31%
- Predicted score: 1–1Over 2.5: 68%BTTS: 68%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Ligue 1
Stade Brestois 29 vs Paris FC
Home
45%
Draw
25%
Away
31%
- Predicted score: 1–1Over 2.5: 55%BTTS: 58%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.