Ligue 1
ES Troyes AC vs Le Havre AC
Home
39%
Draw
25%
Away
36%
- Predicted score: 1–1Over 2.5: 56%BTTS: 59%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Ligue 1 · Matchweek 5
AJ Auxerre vs Stade Brestois 29 Prediction
Match essentials
- Kick-off (UK)
- Sun 20 Sept, 14:00 (BST)
- Competition
- Ligue 1
- Round
- Matchweek 5
- Venue
- To be confirmed
United Matchday prediction
AJ Auxerre win30%
Draw23%
Stade Brestois 29 win47%
- Predicted score
- 1–1
- Over 2.5 goals
- 61%
- Under 2.5 goals
- 39%
- BTTS yes
- 62%
- Over 1.5 goals
- 82%
- Over 3.5 goals
- 39%
- BTTS no
- 38%
- Expected goals
- 1.38 – 1.78
Low confidence
Why the model favours this outcome
The model sees AJ Auxerre's home attacking output as weaker than the Ligue 1 baseline. Stade Brestois 29 carry an above-average away scoring record into the fixture. The model expects a relatively open scoring environment in this match. Sample size is still small this season, so the model leans more heavily on longer-term ratings and lowers its confidence accordingly.
Most likely scorelines
- 1–110.4%
- 1–29.3%
- 0–17.5%
- 2–17.2%
- 0–26.7%
- 2–26.4%
- 1–05.9%
- 1–35.5%
Team comparison
| Statistic | AJ Auxerre | Stade Brestois 29 |
|---|---|---|
| Matches played | 10 | 10 |
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.50 |
| Goals per match | 1.30 | 1.80 |
| Goals conceded per match | 2.40 | 1.20 |
| Home / away goals scored | 5 | 8 |
| Home / away goals conceded | 6 | 6 |
| Last 5 points | 4 | 10 |
| Last 5 goals scored | 6 | 11 |
| Last 5 goals conceded | 12 | 4 |
| Win percentage | 30% | 40% |
AJ Auxerre recent form
LWDLL
Stade Brestois 29 recent form
WDLWW
Recent form
AJ Auxerre
2W 0D 3L in the last 5 · 7 scored, 11 conceded
- Wvs OGC Nice1–0
- Lat Olympique Lyonnais1–3
- Lvs Angers SCO1–3
- Lat Racing Club de Lens2–5
- Wat Lille OSC2–0
Stade Brestois 29
1W 3D 1L in the last 5 · 7 scored, 7 conceded
- Lvs Paris Saint-Germain0–1
- Wat Le Havre AC2–1
- Dvs Toulouse FC2–2
- Dat Le Mans FC2–2
- Dvs Angers SCO1–1
Where to watch (UK)
Ligue 1 matches are typically shown in the UK by TNT Sports. Kick-off is Sun 20 Sept, 14:00 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.
Model transparency
Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 29 August 2026
Last updated: 20 September 2026
Status: Locked
Prediction record
- Matches predicted
- 1000
- 1X2 accuracy
- 49.4%
- BTTS accuracy
- 55.9%
- Over 2.5 accuracy
- 58.6%
- Exact score
- 10.3%
Related predictions
Ligue 1
Racing Club de Lens vs Toulouse FC
Home
47%
Draw
22%
Away
31%
- Predicted score: 1–1Over 2.5: 68%BTTS: 68%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Ligue 1
Stade Brestois 29 vs Paris FC
Home
45%
Draw
25%
Away
31%
- Predicted score: 1–1Over 2.5: 55%BTTS: 58%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.