Ligue 1 · Matchweek 5

AJ Auxerre vs Stade Brestois 29 Prediction

Sun 20 Sept, 14:00

Match essentials

Kick-off (UK): Sun 20 Sept, 14:00 (BST)
Competition: Ligue 1
Round: Matchweek 5
Venue: To be confirmed

United Matchday prediction

AJ Auxerre win30%

Draw23%

Stade Brestois 29 win47%

Predicted score: 1–1
Over 2.5 goals: 61%
Under 2.5 goals: 39%
BTTS yes: 62%

Over 1.5 goals: 82%
Over 3.5 goals: 39%
BTTS no: 38%
Expected goals: 1.38 – 1.78

Low confidence

Why the model favours this outcome

The model sees AJ Auxerre's home attacking output as weaker than the Ligue 1 baseline. Stade Brestois 29 carry an above-average away scoring record into the fixture. The model expects a relatively open scoring environment in this match. Sample size is still small this season, so the model leans more heavily on longer-term ratings and lowers its confidence accordingly.

Most likely scorelines

1–110.4%
1–29.3%
0–17.5%
2–17.2%
0–26.7%
2–26.4%
1–05.9%
1–35.5%

Team comparison

Statistic	AJ Auxerre	Stade Brestois 29
Matches played	5	5
Points per match	1.20	1.00
Goals per match	1.40	1.40
Goals conceded per match	2.40	1.60
Home / away goals scored	4	5
Home / away goals conceded	4	5
Last 5 points	6	5
Last 5 goals scored	7	7
Last 5 goals conceded	12	8
Win percentage	40%	20%

AJ Auxerre recent form

LLLWW

Stade Brestois 29 recent form

DDWLL

Recent form

AJ Auxerre

2W 0D 3L in the last 5 · 7 scored, 11 conceded

Wvs OGC Nice1–0
Lat Olympique Lyonnais1–3
Lvs Angers SCO1–3
Lat Racing Club de Lens2–5
Wat Lille OSC2–0

Stade Brestois 29

1W 3D 1L in the last 5 · 7 scored, 7 conceded

Lvs Paris Saint-Germain0–1
Wat Le Havre AC2–1
Dvs Toulouse FC2–2
Dat Le Mans FC2–2
Dvs Angers SCO1–1

Where to watch (UK)

Ligue 1 matches are typically shown in the UK by TNT Sports. Kick-off is Sun 20 Sept, 14:00 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.