Ligue 1 · Matchweek 10

AJ Auxerre vs Paris FC Prediction

Match essentials

Kick-off (UK)
Sat 7 Nov, 16:15 (GMT)
Competition
Ligue 1
Round
Matchweek 10
Venue
To be confirmed

United Matchday prediction

AJ Auxerre win28%
Draw25%
Paris FC win47%
Predicted score
1–1
Over 2.5 goals
52%
Under 2.5 goals
48%
BTTS yes
55%
Over 1.5 goals
76%
Over 3.5 goals
30%
BTTS no
45%
Expected goals
1.18 – 1.59

Medium confidence

Why the model favours this outcome

The model credits Paris FC with an above-average away defensive record. Paris FC arrive in stronger recent form, which the model weights alongside season-long numbers.

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–111.8%
  • 0–110.0%
  • 1–29.4%
  • 0–28.0%
  • 1–07.4%
  • 2–16.9%
  • 0–06.3%
  • 2–25.5%

Team comparison

StatisticAJ AuxerreParis FC
Matches played66
Points per match1.001.83
Goals per match1.331.33
Goals conceded per match2.670.67
Home / away goals scored43
Home / away goals conceded43
Last 5 points610
Last 5 goals scored68
Last 5 goals conceded114
Win percentage33%50%

AJ Auxerre recent form

LLWWL

Paris FC recent form

WWDWL

Recent form

AJ Auxerre

2W 0D 3L in the last 5 · 6 scored, 11 conceded

  • Lat Stade Rennais FC 19011–4
  • Wvs Stade Brestois 292–1
  • Wvs OGC Nice1–0
  • Lat Olympique Lyonnais1–3
  • Lvs Angers SCO1–3

Paris FC

3W 1D 1L in the last 5 · 8 scored, 4 conceded

  • Lat FC Lorient0–1
  • Wvs RC Strasbourg Alsace2–1
  • Dvs Olympique Lyonnais0–0
  • Wat Olympique de Marseille3–2
  • Wvs OGC Nice3–0

Where to watch (UK)

Ligue 1 matches are typically shown in the UK by TNT Sports. Kick-off is Sat 7 Nov, 16:15 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.

Model transparency

Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 17 October 2026
Last updated: 17 October 2026
Status: Live

How predictions work

Prediction record

Matches predicted
672
1X2 accuracy
47.0%
BTTS accuracy
55.5%
Over 2.5 accuracy
57.9%
Exact score
10.3%

Related predictions

Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.