Ligue 1
ES Troyes AC vs Le Havre AC
Home
39%
Draw
25%
Away
36%
- Predicted score: 1–1Over 2.5: 56%BTTS: 59%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Ligue 1 · Matchweek 12
AJ Auxerre vs Olympique de Marseille Prediction
Match essentials
- Kick-off (UK)
- Sun 29 Nov, 14:00 (GMT)
- Competition
- Ligue 1
- Round
- Matchweek 12
- Venue
- To be confirmed
United Matchday prediction
AJ Auxerre win15%
Draw17%
Olympique de Marseille win68%
- Predicted score
- 1–2
- Over 2.5 goals
- 70%
- Under 2.5 goals
- 30%
- BTTS yes
- 61%
- Over 1.5 goals
- 87%
- Over 3.5 goals
- 48%
- BTTS no
- 39%
- Expected goals
- 1.09 – 2.51
Medium confidence
Why the model favours this outcome
AJ Auxerre have scored at a below-average rate at home, which limits the model's home goal expectation. Olympique de Marseille have defended well on the road, conceding less often than the average travelling side. Olympique de Marseille's travelling attack has outperformed the competition average. Combined attacking and defensive numbers point toward a higher-scoring game than average.
Most likely scorelines
- 1–29.4%
- 0–28.6%
- 1–37.9%
- 1–17.5%
- 0–37.2%
- 0–16.9%
- 2–25.1%
- 1–44.9%
Team comparison
| Statistic | AJ Auxerre | Olympique de Marseille |
|---|---|---|
| Matches played | 10 | 10 |
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.80 |
| Goals per match | 1.30 | 2.20 |
| Goals conceded per match | 2.40 | 1.40 |
| Home / away goals scored | 5 | 9 |
| Home / away goals conceded | 6 | 6 |
| Last 5 points | 4 | 15 |
| Last 5 goals scored | 6 | 15 |
| Last 5 goals conceded | 12 | 6 |
| Win percentage | 30% | 60% |
AJ Auxerre recent form
LWDLL
Olympique de Marseille recent form
WWWWW
Recent form
AJ Auxerre
1W 1D 3L in the last 5 · 6 scored, 12 conceded
- Lvs Paris FC0–1
- Lat RC Strasbourg Alsace1–5
- Dvs Le Mans FC1–1
- Wat Le Havre AC3–1
- Lat Stade Rennais FC 19011–4
Olympique de Marseille
5W 0D 0L in the last 5 · 15 scored, 6 conceded
- Wat Racing Club de Lens2–1
- Wvs Toulouse FC2–0
- Wvs Le Havre AC4–3
- Wat Angers SCO5–2
- Wat ES Troyes AC2–0
Where to watch (UK)
Ligue 1 matches are typically shown in the UK by TNT Sports. Kick-off is Sun 29 Nov, 14:00 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.
Model transparency
Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 8 November 2026
Last updated: 13 November 2026
Status: Live
Prediction record
- Matches predicted
- 1000
- 1X2 accuracy
- 49.4%
- BTTS accuracy
- 55.9%
- Over 2.5 accuracy
- 58.6%
- Exact score
- 10.3%
Related predictions
Ligue 1
Racing Club de Lens vs Toulouse FC
Home
47%
Draw
22%
Away
31%
- Predicted score: 1–1Over 2.5: 68%BTTS: 68%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Ligue 1
Stade Brestois 29 vs Paris FC
Home
45%
Draw
25%
Away
31%
- Predicted score: 1–1Over 2.5: 55%BTTS: 58%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.