Ligue 1 · Matchweek 4

AJ Auxerre vs OGC Nice Prediction

Sat 12 Sept, 19:45

Match essentials

Kick-off (UK): Sat 12 Sept, 19:45 (BST)
Competition: Ligue 1
Round: Matchweek 4
Venue: To be confirmed

United Matchday prediction

AJ Auxerre win43%

Draw25%

OGC Nice win32%

Predicted score: 1–1
Over 2.5 goals: 55%
Under 2.5 goals: 45%
BTTS yes: 58%

Over 1.5 goals: 78%
Over 3.5 goals: 33%
BTTS no: 42%
Expected goals: 1.56 – 1.33

Low confidence

Why the model favours this outcome

Away defensive numbers work against OGC Nice, who have shipped goals above the Ligue 1 average on the road. Sample size is still small this season, so the model leans more heavily on longer-term ratings and lowers its confidence accordingly.

Most likely scorelines

1–111.5%
2–19.0%
1–08.7%
1–27.7%
0–17.4%
2–06.8%
2–26.0%
0–05.5%

Team comparison

Statistic	AJ Auxerre	OGC Nice
Matches played	5	5
Points per match	1.20	1.00
Goals per match	1.40	0.60
Goals conceded per match	2.40	1.20
Home / away goals scored	4	0
Home / away goals conceded	4	4
Last 5 points	6	5
Last 5 goals scored	7	3
Last 5 goals conceded	12	6
Win percentage	40%	20%

AJ Auxerre recent form

LLLWW

OGC Nice recent form

DLDLW

Recent form

AJ Auxerre

2W 0D 3L in the last 5 · 8 scored, 12 conceded

Lat Olympique Lyonnais1–3
Lvs Angers SCO1–3
Lat Racing Club de Lens2–5
Wat Lille OSC2–0
Wvs OGC Nice2–1

OGC Nice

0W 3D 2L in the last 5 · 2 scored, 6 conceded

Dvs Le Mans FC1–1
Lat Paris FC0–3
Dvs FC Lorient0–0
Dvs FC Metz0–0
Lat AJ Auxerre1–2

Where to watch (UK)

Ligue 1 matches are typically shown in the UK by TNT Sports. Kick-off is Sat 12 Sept, 19:45 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.