Premier League · Matchweek 9

AFC Bournemouth vs Leeds United FC Prediction

Sat 31 Oct, 15:00

Match essentials

Kick-off (UK): Sat 31 Oct, 15:00 (GMT+0)
Competition: Premier League
Round: Matchweek 9
Venue: To be confirmed

United Matchday prediction

AFC Bournemouth win33%

Draw28%

Leeds United FC win39%

Predicted score: 1–1
Over 2.5 goals: 41%
Under 2.5 goals: 59%
BTTS yes: 47%

Over 1.5 goals: 68%
Over 3.5 goals: 21%
BTTS no: 53%
Expected goals: 1.11 – 1.22

Low confidence

Why the model favours this outcome

AFC Bournemouth have scored at a below-average rate at home, which limits the model's home goal expectation. Leeds United FC have defended well on the road, conceding less often than the average travelling side. Statistically the two sides are closely matched, so the draw probability stays comparatively high. Sample size is still small this season, so the model leans more heavily on longer-term ratings and lowers its confidence accordingly.

Most likely scorelines

1–113.2%
0–111.8%
1–010.8%
0–09.7%
1–28.0%
2–17.3%
0–27.2%
2–06.0%

Team comparison

Statistic	AFC Bournemouth	Leeds United FC
Matches played	5	6
Points per match	0.60	1.50
Goals per match	1.20	1.33
Goals conceded per match	1.60	0.83
Home / away goals scored	3	3
Home / away goals conceded	4	3
Last 5 points	3	6
Last 5 goals scored	6	7
Last 5 goals conceded	8	5
Win percentage	0%	33%

AFC Bournemouth recent form

LDDDL

Leeds United FC recent form

DDWDL

Recent form

AFC Bournemouth

0W 3D 2L in the last 5 · 6 scored, 8 conceded

Lvs Liverpool FC0–1
Dvs Brentford FC2–2
Dat Newcastle United FC2–2
Dvs Everton FC1–1
Lat Manchester City FC1–2

Leeds United FC

1W 3D 1L in the last 5 · 7 scored, 5 conceded

Lat Arsenal FC1–2
Dvs Crystal Palace FC0–0
Wvs Newcastle United FC4–1
Dat Brighton & Hove Albion FC1–1
Dvs Brentford FC1–1

Team news

AFC Bournemouth

All AFC Bournemouth news →

Leeds United FC

No tracked team news threads open.

All Leeds United FC news →

Where to watch (UK)

Premier League matches are typically shown in the UK by Sky Sports, TNT Sports, Amazon Prime Video (selected rounds), BBC Match of the Day (highlights). Kick-off is Sat 31 Oct, 15:00 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.

Saturday 15:00 UK kick-offs are not broadcast live in the UK.