Eredivisie · Matchweek 12

ADO Den Haag vs Sparta Rotterdam Prediction

Match essentials

Kick-off (UK)
Sat 7 Nov, 17:45 (GMT)
Competition
Eredivisie
Round
Matchweek 12
Venue
To be confirmed

United Matchday prediction

ADO Den Haag win50%
Draw20%
Sparta Rotterdam win30%
Predicted score
2–1
Over 2.5 goals
75%
Under 2.5 goals
25%
BTTS yes
73%
Over 1.5 goals
90%
Over 3.5 goals
56%
BTTS no
27%
Expected goals
2.24 – 1.71

Medium confidence

Why the model favours this outcome

ADO Den Haag have scored at a below-average rate at home, which limits the model's home goal expectation. Away defensive numbers work against Sparta Rotterdam, who have shipped goals above the Eredivisie average on the road. Combined attacking and defensive numbers point toward a higher-scoring game than average.

Most likely scorelines

  • 2–18.3%
  • 1–17.4%
  • 2–27.1%
  • 1–26.3%
  • 3–16.2%
  • 3–25.3%
  • 2–04.8%
  • 1–04.3%

Team comparison

StatisticADO Den HaagSparta Rotterdam
Matches played86
Points per match0.750.50
Goals per match1.381.67
Goals conceded per match2.253.00
Home / away goals scored65
Home / away goals conceded99
Last 5 points52
Last 5 goals scored77
Last 5 goals conceded915
Win percentage13%0%

ADO Den Haag recent form

LLDDW

Sparta Rotterdam recent form

LDLLD

Recent form

ADO Den Haag

1W 2D 2L in the last 5 · 7 scored, 9 conceded

  • Wvs PSV2–1
  • Dat Telstar 19632–2
  • Dvs SC Cambuur-Leeuwarden1–1
  • Lat FC Twente '650–2
  • Lvs Fortuna Sittard2–3

Sparta Rotterdam

0W 2D 3L in the last 5 · 7 scored, 15 conceded

  • Dat Go Ahead Eagles3–3
  • Lvs SC Heerenveen0–4
  • Lat PSV1–4
  • Dvs PEC Zwolle2–2
  • Lat SBV Excelsior1–2

Where to watch (UK)

Eredivisie matches are typically shown in the UK by Premier Sports. Kick-off is Sat 7 Nov, 17:45 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.

Model transparency

Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 17 October 2026
Last updated: 17 October 2026
Status: Live

How predictions work

Prediction record

Matches predicted
672
1X2 accuracy
47.0%
BTTS accuracy
55.5%
Over 2.5 accuracy
57.9%
Exact score
10.3%

Related predictions

Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.