Bundesliga · Matchweek 1

1. FSV Mainz 05 vs SC Paderborn 07 Prediction

Sat 29 Aug, 14:30

Match essentials

Kick-off (UK): Sat 29 Aug, 14:30 (BST)
Competition: Bundesliga
Round: Matchweek 1
Venue: To be confirmed

United Matchday prediction

1. FSV Mainz 05 win89%

Draw7%

SC Paderborn 07 win4%

Predicted score: 4–1
Over 2.5 goals: 90%
Under 2.5 goals: 10%
BTTS yes: 62%

Over 1.5 goals: 97%
Over 3.5 goals: 77%
BTTS no: 38%
Expected goals: 4.30 – 1.00

Low confidence

Why the model favours this outcome

The model expects a relatively open scoring environment in this match. Sample size is still small this season, so the model leans more heavily on longer-term ratings and lowers its confidence accordingly.

Most likely scorelines

4–17.3%
4–07.3%
3–16.8%
3–06.8%
5–16.3%
5–06.3%
2–14.8%
2–04.7%

Team comparison

Statistic	1. FSV Mainz 05	SC Paderborn 07
Matches played	4	4
Points per match	1.75	1.00
Goals per match	2.50	0.75
Goals conceded per match	1.50	1.25
Home / away goals scored	1	0
Home / away goals conceded	3	3
Last 5 points	7	4
Last 5 goals scored	10	3
Last 5 goals conceded	6	5
Win percentage	50%	25%

1. FSV Mainz 05 recent form

DWLW

SC Paderborn 07 recent form

DLLW

Recent form

1. FSV Mainz 05

2W 1D 2L in the last 5 · 9 scored, 9 conceded

Wat 1. FC Heidenheim 18462–0
Lvs 1. FC Union Berlin1–3
Wat FC St. Pauli 19102–1
Lvs Bayern Munich3–4
Dat Borussia Mönchengladbach1–1

SC Paderborn 07

No recent completed fixtures on record.

Where to watch (UK)

Bundesliga matches are typically shown in the UK by Sky Sports. Kick-off is Sat 29 Aug, 14:30 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.