Bundesliga · Matchweek 3

1. FSV Mainz 05 vs Eintracht Frankfurt Prediction

Match essentials

Kick-off (UK)
Sat 12 Sept, 14:30 (BST)
Competition
Bundesliga
Round
Matchweek 3
Venue
To be confirmed

United Matchday prediction

1. FSV Mainz 05 win64%
Draw18%
Eintracht Frankfurt win18%
Predicted score
2–1
Over 2.5 goals
73%
Under 2.5 goals
27%
BTTS yes
66%
Over 1.5 goals
89%
Over 3.5 goals
52%
BTTS no
34%
Expected goals
2.50 – 1.28

Low confidence

Why the model favours this outcome

1. FSV Mainz 05 have scored at a below-average rate at home, which limits the model's home goal expectation. Eintracht Frankfurt's travelling attack has outperformed the competition average. Combined attacking and defensive numbers point toward a higher-scoring game than average. Recent results also favour 1. FSV Mainz 05, whose points-per-match rate over the last five games is above average.

Most likely scorelines

  • 2–19.1%
  • 3–17.6%
  • 1–17.3%
  • 2–07.2%
  • 3–06.0%
  • 2–25.8%
  • 1–05.7%
  • 3–24.9%

Team comparison

Statistic1. FSV Mainz 05Eintracht Frankfurt
Matches played44
Points per match1.751.25
Goals per match2.502.25
Goals conceded per match1.502.50
Home / away goals scored16
Home / away goals conceded34
Last 5 points75
Last 5 goals scored109
Last 5 goals conceded610
Win percentage50%25%

1. FSV Mainz 05 recent form

DWLW

Eintracht Frankfurt recent form

DLWD

Recent form

1. FSV Mainz 05

3W 1D 1L in the last 5 · 10 scored, 4 conceded

  • Wat Hamburger SV5–0
  • Dvs SC Paderborn 070–0
  • Wat 1. FC Heidenheim 18462–0
  • Lvs 1. FC Union Berlin1–3
  • Wat FC St. Pauli 19102–1

Eintracht Frankfurt

0W 2D 3L in the last 5 · 9 scored, 14 conceded

  • Lvs FC Augsburg1–4
  • Dat 1. FC Union Berlin3–3
  • Dvs VfB Stuttgart2–2
  • Lat Borussia Dortmund2–3
  • Lvs Hamburger SV1–2

Team news

Where to watch (UK)

Bundesliga matches are typically shown in the UK by Sky Sports. Kick-off is Sat 12 Sept, 14:30 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.

Model transparency

Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 23 August 2026
Last updated: 12 September 2026
Status: Locked

How predictions work

Prediction record

Matches predicted
510
1X2 accuracy
46.9%
BTTS accuracy
57.5%
Over 2.5 accuracy
58.8%
Exact score
10.6%

Related predictions

Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.