Bundesliga
Borussia Mönchengladbach vs Borussia Dortmund
Home
16%
Draw
18%
Away
67%
- Predicted score: 1–2Over 2.5: 69%BTTS: 62%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Bundesliga · Matchweek 11
1. FSV Mainz 05 vs 1. FC Union Berlin Prediction
Match essentials
- Kick-off (UK)
- Sat 28 Nov, 14:30 (GMT)
- Competition
- Bundesliga
- Round
- Matchweek 11
- Venue
- To be confirmed
United Matchday prediction
1. FSV Mainz 05 win62%
Draw20%
1. FC Union Berlin win18%
- Predicted score
- 2–1
- Over 2.5 goals
- 64%
- Under 2.5 goals
- 36%
- BTTS yes
- 60%
- Over 1.5 goals
- 84%
- Over 3.5 goals
- 42%
- BTTS no
- 40%
- Expected goals
- 2.18 – 1.11
Medium confidence
Why the model favours this outcome
1. FSV Mainz 05 have scored at a below-average rate at home, which limits the model's home goal expectation. Away defensive numbers work against 1. FC Union Berlin, who have shipped goals above the Bundesliga average on the road. Combined attacking and defensive numbers point toward a higher-scoring game than average.
Most likely scorelines
- 2–19.8%
- 1–19.0%
- 2–08.8%
- 1–08.1%
- 3–17.1%
- 3–06.4%
- 2–25.5%
- 1–25.0%
Team comparison
| Statistic | 1. FSV Mainz 05 | 1. FC Union Berlin |
|---|---|---|
| Matches played | 9 | 9 |
| Points per match | 1.11 | 0.78 |
| Goals per match | 2.00 | 0.78 |
| Goals conceded per match | 2.11 | 2.33 |
| Home / away goals scored | 7 | 1 |
| Home / away goals conceded | 12 | 14 |
| Last 5 points | 3 | 6 |
| Last 5 goals scored | 8 | 3 |
| Last 5 goals conceded | 13 | 4 |
| Win percentage | 33% | 11% |
1. FSV Mainz 05 recent form
LWLLL
1. FC Union Berlin recent form
WDDDL
Recent form
1. FSV Mainz 05
1W 0D 4L in the last 5 · 8 scored, 13 conceded
- Lvs Bayern Munich1–2
- Lat SV 07 Elversberg1–4
- Lvs SV Werder Bremen2–3
- Wat FC Schalke 041–0
- Lvs Bayer 04 Leverkusen3–4
1. FC Union Berlin
1W 3D 1L in the last 5 · 3 scored, 4 conceded
- Lat SC Freiburg0–2
- Dvs 1. FC Köln1–1
- Dat FC Augsburg1–1
- Dvs Borussia Dortmund0–0
- Wvs SV 07 Elversberg1–0
Where to watch (UK)
Bundesliga matches are typically shown in the UK by Sky Sports. Kick-off is Sat 28 Nov, 14:30 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.
Model transparency
Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 7 November 2026
Last updated: 13 November 2026
Status: Live
Prediction record
- Matches predicted
- 1000
- 1X2 accuracy
- 49.4%
- BTTS accuracy
- 55.9%
- Over 2.5 accuracy
- 58.6%
- Exact score
- 10.3%
Related predictions
Bundesliga
FC Augsburg vs 1. FSV Mainz 05
Home
33%
Draw
20%
Away
46%
- Predicted score: 1–2Over 2.5: 77%BTTS: 75%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Bundesliga
SV Werder Bremen vs Hamburger SV
Home
65%
Draw
18%
Away
17%
- Predicted score: 2–1Over 2.5: 72%BTTS: 65%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Bundesliga
Hamburger SV vs Bayern Munich
Home
13%
Draw
15%
Away
71%
- Predicted score: 1–2Over 2.5: 76%BTTS: 65%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.