Bundesliga · Matchweek 5

1. FC Union Berlin vs SV 07 Elversberg Prediction

Match essentials

Kick-off (UK)
Sat 10 Oct, 14:30 (BST)
Competition
Bundesliga
Round
Matchweek 5
Venue
To be confirmed

United Matchday prediction

1. FC Union Berlin win22%
Draw17%
SV 07 Elversberg win61%
Predicted score
1–2
Over 2.5 goals
82%
Under 2.5 goals
18%
BTTS yes
76%
Over 1.5 goals
94%
Over 3.5 goals
65%
BTTS no
24%
Expected goals
1.67 – 2.80

Low confidence

Why the model favours this outcome

1. FC Union Berlin have scored at a below-average rate at home, which limits the model's home goal expectation. SV 07 Elversberg have defended well on the road, conceding less often than the average travelling side. SV 07 Elversberg's travelling attack has outperformed the competition average. Combined attacking and defensive numbers point toward a higher-scoring game than average.

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–27.5%
  • 1–37.0%
  • 2–26.3%
  • 2–35.9%
  • 1–15.4%
  • 1–44.9%
  • 2–14.5%
  • 0–24.5%

Team comparison

Statistic1. FC Union BerlinSV 07 Elversberg
Matches played99
Points per match0.781.44
Goals per match0.781.89
Goals conceded per match2.332.00
Home / away goals scored65
Home / away goals conceded710
Last 5 points66
Last 5 goals scored39
Last 5 goals conceded411
Win percentage11%44%

1. FC Union Berlin recent form

WDDDL

SV 07 Elversberg recent form

LWLWL

Recent form

1. FC Union Berlin

1W 1D 3L in the last 5 · 8 scored, 17 conceded

  • Lat Bayern Munich0–7
  • Lvs FC Schalke 041–3
  • Lat Bayer 04 Leverkusen0–4
  • Dvs Eintracht Frankfurt3–3
  • Wvs FC Augsburg4–0

SV 07 Elversberg

2W 1D 1L in the last 4 · 8 scored, 7 conceded

  • Dat FC Schalke 040–0
  • Lvs Bayern Munich1–2
  • Wat Borussia Mönchengladbach4–3
  • Wvs Bayer 04 Leverkusen3–2

Where to watch (UK)

Bundesliga matches are typically shown in the UK by Sky Sports. Kick-off is Sat 10 Oct, 14:30 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.

Model transparency

Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 19 September 2026
Last updated: 10 October 2026
Status: Locked

How predictions work

Prediction record

Matches predicted
1000
1X2 accuracy
49.4%
BTTS accuracy
55.9%
Over 2.5 accuracy
58.6%
Exact score
10.3%

Related predictions

Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.