Bundesliga · Matchweek 10

1. FC Union Berlin vs RB Leipzig Prediction

Match essentials

Kick-off (UK)
Sat 21 Nov, 14:30 (GMT)
Competition
Bundesliga
Round
Matchweek 10
Venue
To be confirmed

United Matchday prediction

1. FC Union Berlin win27%
Draw21%
RB Leipzig win52%
Predicted score
1–2
Over 2.5 goals
70%
Under 2.5 goals
30%
BTTS yes
68%
Over 1.5 goals
88%
Over 3.5 goals
49%
BTTS no
32%
Expected goals
1.50 – 2.11

Medium confidence

Why the model favours this outcome

The model sees 1. FC Union Berlin's home attacking output as weaker than the Bundesliga baseline. RB Leipzig carry an above-average away scoring record into the fixture. The model expects a relatively open scoring environment in this match. RB Leipzig arrive in stronger recent form, which the model weights alongside season-long numbers.

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–29.0%
  • 1–18.6%
  • 2–26.8%
  • 2–16.4%
  • 1–36.4%
  • 0–26.0%
  • 0–15.7%
  • 2–34.8%

Team comparison

Statistic1. FC Union BerlinRB Leipzig
Matches played99
Points per match0.782.00
Goals per match0.783.00
Goals conceded per match2.331.44
Home / away goals scored64
Home / away goals conceded711
Last 5 points612
Last 5 goals scored318
Last 5 goals conceded48
Win percentage11%67%

1. FC Union Berlin recent form

WDDDL

RB Leipzig recent form

WLWWW

Recent form

1. FC Union Berlin

1W 3D 1L in the last 5 · 3 scored, 4 conceded

  • Lat SC Freiburg0–2
  • Dvs 1. FC Köln1–1
  • Dat FC Augsburg1–1
  • Dvs Borussia Dortmund0–0
  • Wvs SV 07 Elversberg1–0

RB Leipzig

3W 0D 2L in the last 5 · 14 scored, 9 conceded

  • Wvs FC Augsburg5–2
  • Lvs Manchester City FC2–3
  • Wat FC Schalke 042–0
  • Wvs SV 07 Elversberg4–0
  • Lat Real Madrid1–4

Team news

Where to watch (UK)

Bundesliga matches are typically shown in the UK by Sky Sports. Kick-off is Sat 21 Nov, 14:30 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.

Model transparency

Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 31 October 2026
Last updated: 13 November 2026
Status: Live

How predictions work

Prediction record

Matches predicted
1000
1X2 accuracy
49.4%
BTTS accuracy
55.9%
Over 2.5 accuracy
58.6%
Exact score
10.3%

Related predictions

Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.