Bundesliga · Matchweek 3

1. FC Union Berlin vs FC Schalke 04 Prediction

Match essentials

Kick-off (UK)
Fri 11 Sept, 19:30 (BST)
Competition
Bundesliga
Round
Matchweek 3
Venue
To be confirmed

United Matchday prediction

1. FC Union Berlin win59%
Draw19%
FC Schalke 04 win22%
Predicted score
2–1
Over 2.5 goals
71%
Under 2.5 goals
29%
BTTS yes
67%
Over 1.5 goals
88%
Over 3.5 goals
51%
BTTS no
33%
Expected goals
2.32 – 1.38

Low confidence

Why the model favours this outcome

Combined attacking and defensive numbers point toward a higher-scoring game than average. Sample size is still small this season, so the model leans more heavily on longer-term ratings and lowers its confidence accordingly.

Most likely scorelines

  • 2–19.2%
  • 1–17.9%
  • 3–17.1%
  • 2–06.7%
  • 2–26.3%
  • 1–05.7%
  • 1–25.5%
  • 3–05.2%

Team comparison

Statistic1. FC Union BerlinFC Schalke 04
Matches played44
Points per match0.251.25
Goals per match1.000.75
Goals conceded per match4.251.00
Home / away goals scored43
Home / away goals conceded64
Last 5 points15
Last 5 goals scored43
Last 5 goals conceded174
Win percentage0%25%

1. FC Union Berlin recent form

DLLL

FC Schalke 04 recent form

LDWD

Recent form

1. FC Union Berlin

2W 2D 1L in the last 5 · 12 scored, 10 conceded

  • Lat Bayer 04 Leverkusen0–4
  • Dvs Eintracht Frankfurt3–3
  • Wvs FC Augsburg4–0
  • Wat 1. FSV Mainz 053–1
  • Dvs 1. FC Köln2–2

FC Schalke 04

0W 1D 1L in the last 2 · 0 scored, 3 conceded

  • Dvs Bayern Munich0–0
  • Lat FC Augsburg0–3

Where to watch (UK)

Bundesliga matches are typically shown in the UK by Sky Sports. Kick-off is Fri 11 Sept, 19:30 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.

Model transparency

Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 23 August 2026
Last updated: 11 September 2026
Status: Locked

How predictions work

Prediction record

Matches predicted
510
1X2 accuracy
46.9%
BTTS accuracy
57.5%
Over 2.5 accuracy
58.8%
Exact score
10.6%

Related predictions

Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.