Bundesliga
Borussia Mönchengladbach vs Borussia Dortmund
Home
16%
Draw
18%
Away
67%
- Predicted score: 1–2Over 2.5: 69%BTTS: 62%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Bundesliga · Matchweek 6
1. FC Union Berlin vs Borussia Dortmund Prediction
Match essentials
- Kick-off (UK)
- Sat 17 Oct, 14:30 (BST)
- Competition
- Bundesliga
- Round
- Matchweek 6
- Venue
- To be confirmed
United Matchday prediction
1. FC Union Berlin win15%
Draw16%
Borussia Dortmund win70%
- Predicted score
- 1–2
- Over 2.5 goals
- 78%
- Under 2.5 goals
- 22%
- BTTS yes
- 68%
- Over 1.5 goals
- 92%
- Over 3.5 goals
- 59%
- BTTS no
- 32%
- Expected goals
- 1.29 – 2.85
Low confidence
Why the model favours this outcome
1. FC Union Berlin have scored at a below-average rate at home, which limits the model's home goal expectation. Borussia Dortmund have defended well on the road, conceding less often than the average travelling side. Borussia Dortmund's travelling attack has outperformed the competition average. Combined attacking and defensive numbers point toward a higher-scoring game than average.
Most likely scorelines
- 1–28.4%
- 1–37.9%
- 0–26.5%
- 0–36.2%
- 1–15.9%
- 1–45.7%
- 2–25.4%
- 2–35.1%
Team comparison
| Statistic | 1. FC Union Berlin | Borussia Dortmund |
|---|---|---|
| Matches played | 9 | 9 |
| Points per match | 0.78 | 2.33 |
| Goals per match | 0.78 | 1.78 |
| Goals conceded per match | 2.33 | 0.78 |
| Home / away goals scored | 6 | 6 |
| Home / away goals conceded | 7 | 4 |
| Last 5 points | 6 | 9 |
| Last 5 goals scored | 3 | 7 |
| Last 5 goals conceded | 4 | 5 |
| Win percentage | 11% | 67% |
1. FC Union Berlin recent form
WDDDL
Borussia Dortmund recent form
DDWDW
Recent form
1. FC Union Berlin
1W 1D 3L in the last 5 · 5 scored, 17 conceded
- Wvs SV 07 Elversberg1–0
- Lat Bayern Munich0–7
- Lvs FC Schalke 041–3
- Lat Bayer 04 Leverkusen0–4
- Dvs Eintracht Frankfurt3–3
Borussia Dortmund
3W 1D 1L in the last 5 · 9 scored, 5 conceded
- Lat FK Bodø/Glimt0–1
- Dvs SV Werder Bremen2–2
- Wat VfB Stuttgart1–0
- Wvs SC Paderborn 073–0
- Wvs Villarreal CF3–2
Team news
Where to watch (UK)
Bundesliga matches are typically shown in the UK by Sky Sports. Kick-off is Sat 17 Oct, 14:30 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.
Model transparency
Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 26 September 2026
Last updated: 17 October 2026
Status: Locked
Prediction record
- Matches predicted
- 1000
- 1X2 accuracy
- 49.4%
- BTTS accuracy
- 55.9%
- Over 2.5 accuracy
- 58.6%
- Exact score
- 10.3%
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FC Augsburg vs 1. FSV Mainz 05
Home
33%
Draw
20%
Away
46%
- Predicted score: 1–2Over 2.5: 77%BTTS: 75%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
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SV Werder Bremen vs Hamburger SV
Home
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Draw
18%
Away
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- Predicted score: 2–1Over 2.5: 72%BTTS: 65%
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Hamburger SV vs Bayern Munich
Home
13%
Draw
15%
Away
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- Predicted score: 1–2Over 2.5: 76%BTTS: 65%
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Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.