Bundesliga · Matchweek 6

1. FC Union Berlin vs Borussia Dortmund Prediction

Sat 17 Oct, 14:30

Match essentials

Kick-off (UK): Sat 17 Oct, 14:30 (BST)
Competition: Bundesliga
Round: Matchweek 6
Venue: To be confirmed

United Matchday prediction

1. FC Union Berlin win11%

Draw13%

Borussia Dortmund win76%

Predicted score: 1–3
Over 2.5 goals: 85%
Under 2.5 goals: 15%
BTTS yes: 71%

Over 1.5 goals: 95%
Over 3.5 goals: 69%
BTTS no: 29%
Expected goals: 1.34 – 3.37

Low confidence

Why the model favours this outcome

1. FC Union Berlin have scored at a below-average rate at home, which limits the model's home goal expectation. Borussia Dortmund have defended well on the road, conceding less often than the average travelling side. Borussia Dortmund's travelling attack has outperformed the competition average. Combined attacking and defensive numbers point toward a higher-scoring game than average.

Most likely scorelines

1–37.8%
1–26.9%
1–46.5%
0–35.8%
2–35.2%
0–25.1%
0–44.9%
2–24.6%

Team comparison

Statistic	1. FC Union Berlin	Borussia Dortmund
Matches played	4	4
Points per match	0.25	3.00
Goals per match	1.00	2.25
Goals conceded per match	4.25	0.50
Home / away goals scored	4	4
Home / away goals conceded	6	2
Last 5 points	1	12
Last 5 goals scored	4	9
Last 5 goals conceded	17	2
Win percentage	0%	100%

1. FC Union Berlin recent form

DLLL

Borussia Dortmund recent form

WWWW

Recent form

1. FC Union Berlin

1W 1D 3L in the last 5 · 8 scored, 17 conceded

Lat Bayern Munich0–7
Lvs FC Schalke 041–3
Lat Bayer 04 Leverkusen0–4
Dvs Eintracht Frankfurt3–3
Wvs FC Augsburg4–0

Borussia Dortmund

5W 0D 0L in the last 5 · 12 scored, 4 conceded

Wat VfB Stuttgart1–0
Wvs SC Paderborn 073–0
Wvs Villarreal CF3–2
Wat TSG 1899 Hoffenheim3–2
Wvs Hamburger SV2–0

Team news

1. FC Union Berlin

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Borussia Dortmund

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Where to watch (UK)

Bundesliga matches are typically shown in the UK by Sky Sports. Kick-off is Sat 17 Oct, 14:30 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.