Bundesliga · Matchweek 1

1. FC Köln vs TSG 1899 Hoffenheim Prediction

Match essentials

Kick-off (UK)
Sat 29 Aug, 14:30 (BST)
Competition
Bundesliga
Round
Matchweek 1
Venue
To be confirmed

United Matchday prediction

1. FC Köln win87%
Draw8%
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim win5%
Predicted score
4–1
Over 2.5 goals
88%
Under 2.5 goals
12%
BTTS yes
65%
Over 1.5 goals
96%
Over 3.5 goals
74%
BTTS no
35%
Expected goals
4.03 – 1.07

Low confidence

Why the model favours this outcome

Combined attacking and defensive numbers point toward a higher-scoring game than average. Sample size is still small this season, so the model leans more heavily on longer-term ratings and lowers its confidence accordingly.

Most likely scorelines

  • 4–17.3%
  • 3–17.3%
  • 4–06.8%
  • 3–06.8%
  • 5–15.9%
  • 5–05.5%
  • 2–15.4%
  • 2–05.1%

Team comparison

Statistic1. FC KölnTSG 1899 Hoffenheim
Matches played44
Points per match1.000.75
Goals per match1.501.75
Goals conceded per match2.252.50
Home / away goals scored43
Home / away goals conceded36
Last 5 points43
Last 5 goals scored67
Last 5 goals conceded910
Win percentage25%25%

1. FC Köln recent form

WLDL

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim recent form

LLWL

Recent form

1. FC Köln

0W 2D 3L in the last 5 · 6 scored, 13 conceded

  • Lat Bayern Munich1–5
  • Lvs 1. FC Heidenheim 18461–3
  • Dat 1. FC Union Berlin2–2
  • Lvs Bayer 04 Leverkusen1–2
  • Dat FC St. Pauli 19101–1

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim

3W 1D 1L in the last 5 · 8 scored, 9 conceded

  • Lat Borussia Mönchengladbach0–4
  • Wvs SV Werder Bremen1–0
  • Dvs VfB Stuttgart3–3
  • Wat Hamburger SV2–1
  • Wvs Borussia Dortmund2–1

Where to watch (UK)

Bundesliga matches are typically shown in the UK by Sky Sports. Kick-off is Sat 29 Aug, 14:30 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.

Model transparency

Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 13 August 2026
Last updated: 29 August 2026
Status: Locked

How predictions work

Prediction record

Matches predicted
510
1X2 accuracy
46.9%
BTTS accuracy
57.5%
Over 2.5 accuracy
58.8%
Exact score
10.6%

Related predictions

Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.