Bundesliga · Matchweek 3

1. FC Köln vs SV Werder Bremen Prediction

Sat 12 Sept, 17:30

Match essentials

Kick-off (UK): Sat 12 Sept, 17:30 (BST)
Competition: Bundesliga
Round: Matchweek 3
Venue: To be confirmed

United Matchday prediction

1. FC Köln win61%

Draw17%

SV Werder Bremen win22%

Predicted score: 2–1
Over 2.5 goals: 85%
Under 2.5 goals: 15%
BTTS yes: 78%

Over 1.5 goals: 95%
Over 3.5 goals: 69%
BTTS no: 22%
Expected goals: 2.91 – 1.77

Low confidence

Why the model favours this outcome

Combined attacking and defensive numbers point toward a higher-scoring game than average. Sample size is still small this season, so the model leans more heavily on longer-term ratings and lowers its confidence accordingly.

Most likely scorelines

2–17.0%
3–16.8%
2–26.2%
3–26.0%
4–14.9%
1–14.8%
4–24.4%
1–24.2%

Team comparison

Statistic	1. FC Köln	SV Werder Bremen
Matches played	4	4
Points per match	1.00	1.75
Goals per match	1.50	2.00
Goals conceded per match	2.25	2.00
Home / away goals scored	4	2
Home / away goals conceded	3	5
Last 5 points	4	7
Last 5 goals scored	6	8
Last 5 goals conceded	9	8
Win percentage	25%	50%

1. FC Köln recent form

WLDL

SV Werder Bremen recent form

LWDW

Recent form

1. FC Köln

1W 1D 3L in the last 5 · 8 scored, 16 conceded

Lat VfB Stuttgart1–4
Wvs TSG 1899 Hoffenheim3–2
Lat Bayern Munich1–5
Lvs 1. FC Heidenheim 18461–3
Dat 1. FC Union Berlin2–2

SV Werder Bremen

1W 0D 4L in the last 5 · 5 scored, 11 conceded

Wvs RB Leipzig3–1
Lat SC Freiburg1–4
Lvs Borussia Dortmund0–2
Lat TSG 1899 Hoffenheim0–1
Lvs FC Augsburg1–3

Where to watch (UK)

Bundesliga matches are typically shown in the UK by Sky Sports. Kick-off is Sat 12 Sept, 17:30 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.