Bundesliga
Borussia Mönchengladbach vs Borussia Dortmund
Home
16%
Draw
18%
Away
67%
- Predicted score: 1–2Over 2.5: 69%BTTS: 62%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Bundesliga · Matchweek 5
1. FC Köln vs Borussia Mönchengladbach Prediction
Match essentials
- Kick-off (UK)
- Sun 11 Oct, 14:30 (BST)
- Competition
- Bundesliga
- Round
- Matchweek 5
- Venue
- To be confirmed
United Matchday prediction
1. FC Köln win72%
Draw15%
Borussia Mönchengladbach win13%
- Predicted score
- 2–1
- Over 2.5 goals
- 74%
- Under 2.5 goals
- 26%
- BTTS yes
- 62%
- Over 1.5 goals
- 90%
- Over 3.5 goals
- 54%
- BTTS no
- 38%
- Expected goals
- 2.75 – 1.10
Low confidence
Why the model favours this outcome
Borussia Mönchengladbach have conceded at a higher rate away from home than the competition average. The model expects a relatively open scoring environment in this match. Sample size is still small this season, so the model leans more heavily on longer-term ratings and lowers its confidence accordingly.
Most likely scorelines
- 2–18.9%
- 3–18.1%
- 2–08.1%
- 3–07.4%
- 1–16.4%
- 1–05.8%
- 4–15.6%
- 4–05.1%
Team comparison
| Statistic | 1. FC Köln | Borussia Mönchengladbach |
|---|---|---|
| Matches played | 9 | 9 |
| Points per match | 1.00 | 0.44 |
| Goals per match | 1.11 | 1.33 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.56 | 2.78 |
| Home / away goals scored | 7 | 5 |
| Home / away goals conceded | 6 | 15 |
| Last 5 points | 5 | 4 |
| Last 5 goals scored | 4 | 6 |
| Last 5 goals conceded | 5 | 9 |
| Win percentage | 22% | 11% |
1. FC Köln recent form
WLDDL
Borussia Mönchengladbach recent form
LLWDL
Recent form
1. FC Köln
1W 1D 3L in the last 5 · 7 scored, 14 conceded
- Lat Hamburger SV1–2
- Dvs SV Werder Bremen1–1
- Lat VfB Stuttgart1–4
- Wvs TSG 1899 Hoffenheim3–2
- Lat Bayern Munich1–5
Borussia Mönchengladbach
1W 0D 4L in the last 5 · 10 scored, 16 conceded
- Lvs 1. FSV Mainz 053–4
- Lat SC Freiburg0–5
- Lvs SV 07 Elversberg3–4
- Lat RB Leipzig0–3
- Wvs TSG 1899 Hoffenheim4–0
Where to watch (UK)
Bundesliga matches are typically shown in the UK by Sky Sports. Kick-off is Sun 11 Oct, 14:30 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.
Model transparency
Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 20 September 2026
Last updated: 11 October 2026
Status: Locked
Prediction record
- Matches predicted
- 1000
- 1X2 accuracy
- 49.4%
- BTTS accuracy
- 55.9%
- Over 2.5 accuracy
- 58.6%
- Exact score
- 10.3%
Related predictions
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FC Augsburg vs 1. FSV Mainz 05
Home
33%
Draw
20%
Away
46%
- Predicted score: 1–2Over 2.5: 77%BTTS: 75%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
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SV Werder Bremen vs Hamburger SV
Home
65%
Draw
18%
Away
17%
- Predicted score: 2–1Over 2.5: 72%BTTS: 65%
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Hamburger SV vs Bayern Munich
Home
13%
Draw
15%
Away
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- Predicted score: 1–2Over 2.5: 76%BTTS: 65%
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Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.