Bundesliga · Matchweek 5

1. FC Köln vs Borussia Mönchengladbach Prediction

Sun 11 Oct, 14:30

Match essentials

Kick-off (UK): Sun 11 Oct, 14:30 (BST)
Competition: Bundesliga
Round: Matchweek 5
Venue: To be confirmed

United Matchday prediction

1. FC Köln win72%

Draw15%

Borussia Mönchengladbach win12%

Predicted score: 2–1
Over 2.5 goals: 74%
Under 2.5 goals: 26%
BTTS yes: 62%

Over 1.5 goals: 90%
Over 3.5 goals: 53%
BTTS no: 38%
Expected goals: 2.76 – 1.08

Low confidence

Why the model favours this outcome

Borussia Mönchengladbach have conceded at a higher rate away from home than the competition average. The model expects a relatively open scoring environment in this match. Sample size is still small this season, so the model leans more heavily on longer-term ratings and lowers its confidence accordingly.

Most likely scorelines

2–18.9%
2–08.2%
3–18.1%
3–07.5%
1–16.4%
1–05.9%
4–15.6%
4–05.2%

Team comparison

Statistic	1. FC Köln	Borussia Mönchengladbach
Matches played	4	4
Points per match	1.00	0.00
Goals per match	1.50	1.50
Goals conceded per match	2.25	4.00
Home / away goals scored	4	0
Home / away goals conceded	3	8
Last 5 points	4	0
Last 5 goals scored	6	6
Last 5 goals conceded	9	16
Win percentage	25%	0%

1. FC Köln recent form

WLDL

Borussia Mönchengladbach recent form

LLLL

Recent form

1. FC Köln

1W 1D 3L in the last 5 · 7 scored, 14 conceded

Lat Hamburger SV1–2
Dvs SV Werder Bremen1–1
Lat VfB Stuttgart1–4
Wvs TSG 1899 Hoffenheim3–2
Lat Bayern Munich1–5

Borussia Mönchengladbach

1W 0D 4L in the last 5 · 10 scored, 16 conceded

Lvs 1. FSV Mainz 053–4
Lat SC Freiburg0–5
Lvs SV 07 Elversberg3–4
Lat RB Leipzig0–3
Wvs TSG 1899 Hoffenheim4–0

Where to watch (UK)

Bundesliga matches are typically shown in the UK by Sky Sports. Kick-off is Sun 11 Oct, 14:30 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.