Bundesliga
Borussia Mönchengladbach vs TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
Home
36%
Draw
18%
Away
45%
- Predicted score: 2–2Over 2.5: 87%BTTS: 83%
Low confidenceFull prediction
Bundesliga · Matchweek 9
1. FC Köln vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen Prediction
Match essentials
- Kick-off (UK)
- Sun 8 Nov, 14:30 (GMT+0)
- Competition
- Bundesliga
- Round
- Matchweek 9
- Venue
- To be confirmed
United Matchday prediction
1. FC Köln win31%
Draw20%
Bayer 04 Leverkusen win50%
- Predicted score
- 1–2
- Over 2.5 goals
- 80%
- Under 2.5 goals
- 20%
- BTTS yes
- 77%
- Over 1.5 goals
- 92%
- Over 3.5 goals
- 61%
- BTTS no
- 23%
- Expected goals
- 1.86 – 2.38
Low confidence
Why the model favours this outcome
1. FC Köln have scored at a below-average rate at home, which limits the model's home goal expectation. Bayer 04 Leverkusen's travelling attack has outperformed the competition average. Combined attacking and defensive numbers point toward a higher-scoring game than average. Bayer 04 Leverkusen arrive in stronger recent form, which the model weights alongside season-long numbers.
Most likely scorelines
- 1–27.6%
- 2–27.1%
- 1–16.4%
- 1–36.0%
- 2–15.9%
- 2–35.6%
- 3–24.4%
- 0–24.1%
Team comparison
| Statistic | 1. FC Köln | Bayer 04 Leverkusen |
|---|---|---|
| Matches played | 6 | 5 |
| Points per match | 1.17 | 2.00 |
| Goals per match | 1.33 | 2.80 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.83 | 1.60 |
| Home / away goals scored | 6 | 8 |
| Home / away goals conceded | 4 | 8 |
| Last 5 points | 4 | 10 |
| Last 5 goals scored | 5 | 14 |
| Last 5 goals conceded | 9 | 8 |
| Win percentage | 33% | 60% |
1. FC Köln recent form
LDLWL
Bayer 04 Leverkusen recent form
LWDWW
Recent form
1. FC Köln
1W 1D 3L in the last 5 · 5 scored, 9 conceded
- Lat Eintracht Frankfurt0–1
- Wvs Borussia Mönchengladbach2–1
- Lat Hamburger SV1–2
- Dvs SV Werder Bremen1–1
- Lat VfB Stuttgart1–4
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
3W 1D 1L in the last 5 · 14 scored, 8 conceded
- Wat 1. FSV Mainz 054–3
- Wvs RB Leipzig2–0
- Dat FC Augsburg2–2
- Wvs 1. FC Union Berlin4–0
- Lat SV 07 Elversberg2–3
Team news
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
- Man United quoted £43m to complete transfer for 'tailor-made' target
- Newcastle United 1-2 Bayer Leverkusen: Mason Miley shows grit but Matthias Jaissle wants signings
- Jarell Quansah: Arsenal in talks with Bayer Leverkusen over signing England and former Liverpool defender
- Arsenal open talks with Bayer Leverkusen over deal for Jarell Quansah
Where to watch (UK)
Bundesliga matches are typically shown in the UK by Sky Sports. Kick-off is Sun 8 Nov, 14:30 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.
Model transparency
Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 18 October 2026
Last updated: 18 October 2026
Status: Live
Prediction record
- Matches predicted
- 694
- 1X2 accuracy
- 47.6%
- BTTS accuracy
- 55.6%
- Over 2.5 accuracy
- 57.8%
- Exact score
- 10.4%
Related predictions
Bundesliga
FC Augsburg vs 1. FC Union Berlin
Home
87%
Draw
8%
Away
5%
- Predicted score: 3–0Over 2.5: 83%BTTS: 56%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Bundesliga
SC Paderborn 07 vs Hamburger SV
Home
51%
Draw
23%
Away
26%
- Predicted score: 1–1Over 2.5: 61%BTTS: 61%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Bundesliga
1. FSV Mainz 05 vs SV Werder Bremen
Home
48%
Draw
20%
Away
32%
- Predicted score: 2–1Over 2.5: 79%BTTS: 77%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.