Championship
Swansea City AFC vs West Bromwich Albion FC
Home
34%
Draw
27%
Away
39%
- Predicted score: 1–1Over 2.5: 45%BTTS: 50%
High confidenceFull prediction
Championship · Matchweek 8
Wrexham AFC vs Southampton FC Prediction
Match essentials
- Kick-off (UK)
- Sat 19 Sept, 15:00 (BST)
- Competition
- Championship
- Round
- Matchweek 8
- Venue
- To be confirmed
United Matchday prediction
Wrexham AFC win23%
Draw23%
Southampton FC win54%
- Predicted score
- 1–1
- Over 2.5 goals
- 56%
- Under 2.5 goals
- 44%
- BTTS yes
- 56%
- Over 1.5 goals
- 79%
- Over 3.5 goals
- 34%
- BTTS no
- 44%
- Expected goals
- 1.12 – 1.83
Medium confidence
Why the model favours this outcome
The model sees Wrexham AFC's home attacking output as weaker than the Championship baseline. The model credits Southampton FC with an above-average away defensive record. Southampton FC carry an above-average away scoring record into the fixture. Southampton FC arrive in stronger recent form, which the model weights alongside season-long numbers.
Most likely scorelines
- 1–110.7%
- 1–29.8%
- 0–19.6%
- 0–28.8%
- 2–16.0%
- 1–36.0%
- 1–05.9%
- 2–25.5%
Team comparison
| Statistic | Wrexham AFC | Southampton FC |
|---|---|---|
| Matches played | 15 | 15 |
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.87 |
| Goals per match | 1.20 | 1.93 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.33 | 1.00 |
| Home / away goals scored | 13 | 9 |
| Home / away goals conceded | 9 | 10 |
| Last 5 points | 7 | 8 |
| Last 5 goals scored | 7 | 8 |
| Last 5 goals conceded | 5 | 5 |
| Win percentage | 27% | 53% |
Wrexham AFC recent form
WLLWD
Southampton FC recent form
DWWDL
Recent form
Wrexham AFC
1W 2D 2L in the last 5 · 5 scored, 9 conceded
- Lat West Ham United FC0–6
- Dvs Burnley FC1–1
- Dat Swansea City AFC0–0
- Wat Millwall FC3–0
- Lvs Birmingham City FC1–2
Southampton FC
3W 2D 0L in the last 5 · 14 scored, 5 conceded
- Wvs Bristol City FC4–1
- Wvs Swansea City AFC3–1
- Dat Lincoln City FC1–1
- Dat Birmingham City FC1–1
- Wvs Millwall FC5–1
Model transparency
Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 29 August 2026
Last updated: 19 September 2026
Status: Locked
Prediction record
- Matches predicted
- 1000
- 1X2 accuracy
- 49.4%
- BTTS accuracy
- 55.9%
- Over 2.5 accuracy
- 58.6%
- Exact score
- 10.3%
Related predictions
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West Ham United FC vs Preston North End FC
Home
76%
Draw
14%
Away
10%
- Predicted score: 2–1Over 2.5: 75%BTTS: 60%
High confidenceFull prediction
Championship
Middlesbrough FC vs Swansea City AFC
Home
68%
Draw
17%
Away
15%
- Predicted score: 2–1Over 2.5: 74%BTTS: 65%
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Championship
Norwich City FC vs Queens Park Rangers FC
Home
63%
Draw
18%
Away
19%
- Predicted score: 2–1Over 2.5: 73%BTTS: 67%
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Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.