Championship · Matchweek 8

Wrexham AFC vs Southampton FC Prediction

Match essentials

Kick-off (UK)
Sat 19 Sept, 15:00 (BST)
Competition
Championship
Round
Matchweek 8
Venue
To be confirmed

United Matchday prediction

Wrexham AFC win23%
Draw23%
Southampton FC win54%
Predicted score
1–1
Over 2.5 goals
56%
Under 2.5 goals
44%
BTTS yes
56%
Over 1.5 goals
79%
Over 3.5 goals
34%
BTTS no
44%
Expected goals
1.12 – 1.83

Medium confidence

Why the model favours this outcome

The model sees Wrexham AFC's home attacking output as weaker than the Championship baseline. The model credits Southampton FC with an above-average away defensive record. Southampton FC carry an above-average away scoring record into the fixture. Southampton FC arrive in stronger recent form, which the model weights alongside season-long numbers.

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–110.7%
  • 1–29.8%
  • 0–19.6%
  • 0–28.8%
  • 2–16.0%
  • 1–36.0%
  • 1–05.9%
  • 2–25.5%

Team comparison

StatisticWrexham AFCSouthampton FC
Matches played88
Points per match1.251.75
Goals per match1.132.38
Goals conceded per match1.501.25
Home / away goals scored54
Home / away goals conceded56
Last 5 points88
Last 5 goals scored610
Last 5 goals conceded86
Win percentage25%50%

Wrexham AFC recent form

WDDLW

Southampton FC recent form

DDWWL

Recent form

Wrexham AFC

1W 2D 2L in the last 5 · 5 scored, 9 conceded

  • Lat West Ham United FC0–6
  • Dvs Burnley FC1–1
  • Dat Swansea City AFC0–0
  • Wat Millwall FC3–0
  • Lvs Birmingham City FC1–2

Southampton FC

3W 2D 0L in the last 5 · 14 scored, 5 conceded

  • Wvs Bristol City FC4–1
  • Wvs Swansea City AFC3–1
  • Dat Lincoln City FC1–1
  • Dat Birmingham City FC1–1
  • Wvs Millwall FC5–1

Model transparency

Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 29 August 2026
Last updated: 19 September 2026
Status: Locked

How predictions work

Prediction record

Matches predicted
510
1X2 accuracy
46.9%
BTTS accuracy
57.5%
Over 2.5 accuracy
58.8%
Exact score
10.6%

Related predictions

Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.