Championship · Matchweek 14

Wrexham AFC vs Middlesbrough FC Prediction

Match essentials

Kick-off (UK)
Wed 4 Nov, 19:45 (GMT+0)
Competition
Championship
Round
Matchweek 14
Venue
To be confirmed

United Matchday prediction

Wrexham AFC win25%
Draw22%
Middlesbrough FC win52%
Predicted score
1–1
Over 2.5 goals
63%
Under 2.5 goals
37%
BTTS yes
62%
Over 1.5 goals
83%
Over 3.5 goals
41%
BTTS no
38%
Expected goals
1.30 – 1.94

Medium confidence

Why the model favours this outcome

The model sees Wrexham AFC's home attacking output as weaker than the Championship baseline. Middlesbrough FC carry an above-average away scoring record into the fixture. The model expects a relatively open scoring environment in this match. Middlesbrough FC arrive in stronger recent form, which the model weights alongside season-long numbers.

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–19.9%
  • 1–29.6%
  • 0–17.6%
  • 0–27.4%
  • 2–16.4%
  • 2–26.2%
  • 1–36.2%
  • 1–05.1%

Team comparison

StatisticWrexham AFCMiddlesbrough FC
Matches played109
Points per match1.102.00
Goals per match1.102.00
Goals conceded per match1.501.44
Home / away goals scored68
Home / away goals conceded77
Last 5 points511
Last 5 goals scored512
Last 5 goals conceded119
Win percentage20%56%

Wrexham AFC recent form

DLWDL

Middlesbrough FC recent form

WDDWW

Recent form

Wrexham AFC

1W 2D 2L in the last 5 · 5 scored, 11 conceded

  • Lvs West Bromwich Albion FC1–2
  • Dat Derby County FC1–1
  • Wvs Southampton FC2–1
  • Lat West Ham United FC0–6
  • Dvs Burnley FC1–1

Middlesbrough FC

3W 2D 0L in the last 5 · 12 scored, 9 conceded

  • Wat Stoke City FC3–2
  • Wvs Wolverhampton Wanderers FC1–0
  • Dat Birmingham City FC2–2
  • Dvs Millwall FC2–2
  • Wvs Norwich City FC4–3

Model transparency

Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 15 October 2026
Last updated: 15 October 2026
Status: Live

How predictions work

Prediction record

Matches predicted
639
1X2 accuracy
47.1%
BTTS accuracy
56.7%
Over 2.5 accuracy
58.7%
Exact score
10.8%

Related predictions

Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.