Championship · Matchweek 6

Wrexham AFC vs Burnley FC Prediction

Match essentials

Kick-off (UK)
Tue 8 Sept, 19:45 (BST)
Competition
Championship
Round
Matchweek 6
Venue
To be confirmed

United Matchday prediction

Wrexham AFC win63%
Draw20%
Burnley FC win17%
Predicted score
2–1
Over 2.5 goals
61%
Under 2.5 goals
39%
BTTS yes
56%
Over 1.5 goals
82%
Over 3.5 goals
38%
BTTS no
44%
Expected goals
2.13 – 1.01

Low confidence

Why the model favours this outcome

Wrexham AFC have scored at a below-average rate at home, which limits the model's home goal expectation. Away defensive numbers work against Burnley FC, who have shipped goals above the Championship average on the road. Combined attacking and defensive numbers point toward a higher-scoring game than average. Sample size is still small this season, so the model leans more heavily on longer-term ratings and lowers its confidence accordingly.

Most likely scorelines

  • 2–19.9%
  • 2–09.9%
  • 1–19.3%
  • 1–09.3%
  • 3–17.0%
  • 3–07.0%
  • 2–25.0%
  • 1–24.7%

Team comparison

StatisticWrexham AFCBurnley FC
Matches played88
Points per match1.250.50
Goals per match1.131.13
Goals conceded per match1.502.13
Home / away goals scored54
Home / away goals conceded511
Last 5 points83
Last 5 goals scored65
Last 5 goals conceded88
Win percentage25%0%

Wrexham AFC recent form

WDDLW

Burnley FC recent form

DLDLD

Recent form

Wrexham AFC

1W 3D 1L in the last 5 · 6 scored, 4 conceded

  • Dat Swansea City AFC0–0
  • Wat Millwall FC3–0
  • Lvs Birmingham City FC1–2
  • Dvs Watford FC1–1
  • Dat Cardiff City FC1–1

Burnley FC

0W 2D 3L in the last 5 · 6 scored, 12 conceded

  • Lvs Bristol City FC1–2
  • Dvs Middlesbrough FC1–1
  • Lat Norwich City FC1–4
  • Lat West Bromwich Albion FC1–3
  • Dvs West Ham United FC2–2

Model transparency

Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 23 August 2026
Last updated: 8 September 2026
Status: Locked

How predictions work

Prediction record

Matches predicted
510
1X2 accuracy
46.9%
BTTS accuracy
57.5%
Over 2.5 accuracy
58.8%
Exact score
10.6%

Related predictions

Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.