Championship
Swansea City AFC vs West Bromwich Albion FC
Home
34%
Draw
27%
Away
39%
- Predicted score: 1–1Over 2.5: 45%BTTS: 50%
High confidenceFull prediction
Championship · Matchweek 6
Wrexham AFC vs Burnley FC Prediction
Match essentials
- Kick-off (UK)
- Tue 8 Sept, 19:45 (BST)
- Competition
- Championship
- Round
- Matchweek 6
- Venue
- To be confirmed
United Matchday prediction
Wrexham AFC win63%
Draw20%
Burnley FC win17%
- Predicted score
- 2–1
- Over 2.5 goals
- 61%
- Under 2.5 goals
- 39%
- BTTS yes
- 56%
- Over 1.5 goals
- 82%
- Over 3.5 goals
- 38%
- BTTS no
- 44%
- Expected goals
- 2.13 – 1.01
Low confidence
Why the model favours this outcome
Wrexham AFC have scored at a below-average rate at home, which limits the model's home goal expectation. Away defensive numbers work against Burnley FC, who have shipped goals above the Championship average on the road. Combined attacking and defensive numbers point toward a higher-scoring game than average. Sample size is still small this season, so the model leans more heavily on longer-term ratings and lowers its confidence accordingly.
Most likely scorelines
- 2–19.9%
- 2–09.9%
- 1–19.3%
- 1–09.3%
- 3–17.0%
- 3–07.0%
- 2–25.0%
- 1–24.7%
Team comparison
| Statistic | Wrexham AFC | Burnley FC |
|---|---|---|
| Matches played | 15 | 15 |
| Points per match | 1.20 | 0.67 |
| Goals per match | 1.20 | 1.47 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.33 | 2.07 |
| Home / away goals scored | 13 | 14 |
| Home / away goals conceded | 9 | 21 |
| Last 5 points | 7 | 2 |
| Last 5 goals scored | 7 | 7 |
| Last 5 goals conceded | 5 | 12 |
| Win percentage | 27% | 7% |
Wrexham AFC recent form
WLLWD
Burnley FC recent form
LLDDL
Recent form
Wrexham AFC
1W 3D 1L in the last 5 · 6 scored, 4 conceded
- Dat Swansea City AFC0–0
- Wat Millwall FC3–0
- Lvs Birmingham City FC1–2
- Dvs Watford FC1–1
- Dat Cardiff City FC1–1
Burnley FC
0W 2D 3L in the last 5 · 6 scored, 12 conceded
- Lvs Bristol City FC1–2
- Dvs Middlesbrough FC1–1
- Lat Norwich City FC1–4
- Lat West Bromwich Albion FC1–3
- Dvs West Ham United FC2–2
Model transparency
Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 23 August 2026
Last updated: 8 September 2026
Status: Locked
Prediction record
- Matches predicted
- 1000
- 1X2 accuracy
- 49.4%
- BTTS accuracy
- 55.9%
- Over 2.5 accuracy
- 58.6%
- Exact score
- 10.3%
Related predictions
Championship
West Ham United FC vs Preston North End FC
Home
76%
Draw
14%
Away
10%
- Predicted score: 2–1Over 2.5: 75%BTTS: 60%
High confidenceFull prediction
Championship
Middlesbrough FC vs Swansea City AFC
Home
68%
Draw
17%
Away
15%
- Predicted score: 2–1Over 2.5: 74%BTTS: 65%
High confidenceFull prediction
Championship
Norwich City FC vs Queens Park Rangers FC
Home
63%
Draw
18%
Away
19%
- Predicted score: 2–1Over 2.5: 73%BTTS: 67%
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Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.