Championship
Swansea City AFC vs West Bromwich Albion FC
Home
34%
Draw
27%
Away
39%
- Predicted score: 1–1Over 2.5: 45%BTTS: 50%
High confidenceFull prediction
Championship · Matchweek 17
Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs Derby County FC Prediction
Match essentials
- Kick-off (UK)
- Tue 24 Nov, 20:00 (GMT)
- Competition
- Championship
- Round
- Matchweek 17
- Venue
- To be confirmed
United Matchday prediction
Wolverhampton Wanderers FC win73%
Draw17%
Derby County FC win10%
- Predicted score
- 2–0
- Over 2.5 goals
- 59%
- Under 2.5 goals
- 41%
- BTTS yes
- 47%
- Over 1.5 goals
- 81%
- Over 3.5 goals
- 37%
- BTTS no
- 53%
- Expected goals
- 2.33 – 0.73
High confidence
Why the model favours this outcome
Away defensive numbers work against Derby County FC, who have shipped goals above the Championship average on the road. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC's home defensive record is tighter than the competition average, which suppresses the away goal expectation. Combined attacking and defensive numbers point toward a higher-scoring game than average. Recent results also favour Wolverhampton Wanderers FC, whose points-per-match rate over the last five games is above average.
Most likely scorelines
- 2–012.8%
- 1–011.0%
- 3–09.9%
- 2–19.3%
- 1–18.0%
- 3–17.2%
- 4–05.8%
- 0–04.7%
Team comparison
| Statistic | Wolverhampton Wanderers FC | Derby County FC |
|---|---|---|
| Matches played | 14 | 14 |
| Points per match | 1.93 | 0.71 |
| Goals per match | 1.71 | 0.93 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.14 | 2.00 |
| Home / away goals scored | 11 | 6 |
| Home / away goals conceded | 5 | 13 |
| Last 5 points | 11 | 4 |
| Last 5 goals scored | 8 | 5 |
| Last 5 goals conceded | 3 | 11 |
| Win percentage | 57% | 14% |
Wolverhampton Wanderers FC recent form
DWWWD
Derby County FC recent form
LDLLW
Recent form
Wolverhampton Wanderers FC
3W 2D 0L in the last 5 · 8 scored, 3 conceded
- Dat Wrexham AFC1–1
- Wat Bristol City FC2–1
- Wvs Cardiff City FC3–0
- Wvs Watford FC1–0
- Dvs Portsmouth FC1–1
Derby County FC
1W 1D 3L in the last 5 · 5 scored, 11 conceded
- Wvs Bolton Wanderers FC3–1
- Lvs Norwich City FC0–4
- Lat Millwall FC1–4
- Dat Sheffield United FC1–1
- Lvs Stoke City FC0–1
Model transparency
Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 3 November 2026
Last updated: 13 November 2026
Status: Live
Prediction record
- Matches predicted
- 1000
- 1X2 accuracy
- 49.4%
- BTTS accuracy
- 55.9%
- Over 2.5 accuracy
- 58.6%
- Exact score
- 10.3%
Related predictions
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Home
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Draw
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Away
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- Predicted score: 2–1Over 2.5: 75%BTTS: 60%
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Home
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Draw
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Away
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Home
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Draw
18%
Away
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Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.