Eredivisie · Matchweek 12

Willem II Tilburg vs PEC Zwolle Prediction

Match essentials

Kick-off (UK)
Fri 6 Nov, 19:00 (GMT+0)
Competition
Eredivisie
Round
Matchweek 12
Venue
To be confirmed

United Matchday prediction

Willem II Tilburg win38%
Draw25%
PEC Zwolle win37%
Predicted score
1–1
Over 2.5 goals
53%
Under 2.5 goals
47%
BTTS yes
57%
Over 1.5 goals
77%
Over 3.5 goals
31%
BTTS no
43%
Expected goals
1.41 – 1.38

Medium confidence

Why the model favours this outcome

Willem II Tilburg have scored at a below-average rate at home, which limits the model's home goal expectation. Away defensive numbers work against PEC Zwolle, who have shipped goals above the Eredivisie average on the road. Statistically the two sides are closely matched, so the draw probability stays comparatively high.

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–111.9%
  • 1–08.6%
  • 0–18.4%
  • 2–18.4%
  • 1–28.3%
  • 0–06.1%
  • 2–06.1%
  • 0–25.8%

Team comparison

StatisticWillem II TilburgPEC Zwolle
Matches played67
Points per match0.330.57
Goals per match0.830.86
Goals conceded per match2.502.71
Home / away goals scored25
Home / away goals conceded68
Last 5 points11
Last 5 goals scored33
Last 5 goals conceded1316
Win percentage0%14%

Willem II Tilburg recent form

LDLLL

PEC Zwolle recent form

LDLLL

Recent form

Willem II Tilburg

0W 1D 4L in the last 5 · 3 scored, 13 conceded

  • Lat FC Utrecht1–3
  • Lvs Fortuna Sittard0–1
  • Lat AFC Ajax1–5
  • Dat AZ1–1
  • Lvs SBV Excelsior0–3

PEC Zwolle

0W 1D 4L in the last 5 · 3 scored, 16 conceded

  • Lvs SC Cambuur-Leeuwarden0–1
  • Lat FC Groningen0–3
  • Lvs Feyenoord Rotterdam0–7
  • Dat Sparta Rotterdam2–2
  • Lvs NEC1–3

Where to watch (UK)

Eredivisie matches are typically shown in the UK by Premier Sports. Kick-off is Fri 6 Nov, 19:00 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.

Model transparency

Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 16 October 2026
Last updated: 16 October 2026
Status: Live

How predictions work

Prediction record

Matches predicted
645
1X2 accuracy
47.1%
BTTS accuracy
56.4%
Over 2.5 accuracy
58.9%
Exact score
10.7%

Related predictions

Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.