Eredivisie · Matchweek 10

Fortuna Sittard vs SBV Excelsior Prediction

Sun 25 Oct, 11:15

Match essentials

Kick-off (UK): Sun 25 Oct, 11:15 (GMT+0)
Competition: Eredivisie
Round: Matchweek 10
Venue: To be confirmed

United Matchday prediction

Fortuna Sittard win19%

Draw18%

SBV Excelsior win64%

Predicted score: 1–2
Over 2.5 goals: 76%
Under 2.5 goals: 24%
BTTS yes: 70%

Over 1.5 goals: 91%
Over 3.5 goals: 57%
BTTS no: 30%
Expected goals: 1.39 – 2.63

Low confidence

Why the model favours this outcome

Fortuna Sittard have scored at a below-average rate at home, which limits the model's home goal expectation. SBV Excelsior have defended well on the road, conceding less often than the average travelling side. Combined attacking and defensive numbers point toward a higher-scoring game than average. Recent results also favour Fortuna Sittard, whose points-per-match rate over the last five games is above average.

Most likely scorelines

1–28.6%
1–37.6%
1–16.6%
0–26.2%
2–26.0%
0–35.4%
2–35.3%
1–45.0%

Team comparison

Statistic	Fortuna Sittard	SBV Excelsior
Matches played	5	5
Points per match	1.80	1.60
Goals per match	1.60	2.00
Goals conceded per match	2.20	1.40
Home / away goals scored	1	7
Home / away goals conceded	7	4
Last 5 points	9	8
Last 5 goals scored	8	10
Last 5 goals conceded	11	7
Win percentage	60%	40%

Fortuna Sittard recent form

LWWLW

SBV Excelsior recent form

WWDLD

Recent form

Fortuna Sittard

3W 0D 2L in the last 5 · 8 scored, 11 conceded

Wat Willem II Tilburg1–0
Lvs AFC Ajax1–5
Wat ADO Den Haag3–2
Wat FC Groningen3–2
Lvs AZ0–2

SBV Excelsior

2W 2D 1L in the last 5 · 10 scored, 7 conceded

Dat AFC Ajax2–2
Lvs FC Utrecht1–2
Dat NEC2–2
Wat Willem II Tilburg3–0
Wvs Sparta Rotterdam2–1

Where to watch (UK)

Eredivisie matches are typically shown in the UK by Premier Sports. Kick-off is Sun 25 Oct, 11:15 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.