Eredivisie
FC Groningen vs SC Heerenveen
Home
24%
Draw
17%
Away
58%
- Predicted score: 1–2Over 2.5: 85%BTTS: 80%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Eredivisie · Matchweek 7
Willem II Tilburg vs Fortuna Sittard Prediction
Match essentials
- Kick-off (UK)
- Sat 19 Sept, 20:00 (BST)
- Competition
- Eredivisie
- Round
- Matchweek 7
- Venue
- To be confirmed
United Matchday prediction
Willem II Tilburg win25%
Draw19%
Fortuna Sittard win56%
- Predicted score
- 1–2
- Over 2.5 goals
- 78%
- Under 2.5 goals
- 22%
- BTTS yes
- 74%
- Over 1.5 goals
- 92%
- Over 3.5 goals
- 59%
- BTTS no
- 26%
- Expected goals
- 1.66 – 2.49
Low confidence
Why the model favours this outcome
Willem II Tilburg have scored at a below-average rate at home, which limits the model's home goal expectation. Combined attacking and defensive numbers point toward a higher-scoring game than average. Sample size is still small this season, so the model leans more heavily on longer-term ratings and lowers its confidence accordingly.
Most likely scorelines
- 1–28.1%
- 2–26.7%
- 1–36.7%
- 1–16.5%
- 2–35.6%
- 2–15.4%
- 0–24.9%
- 1–44.2%
Team comparison
| Statistic | Willem II Tilburg | Fortuna Sittard |
|---|---|---|
| Matches played | 10 | 10 |
| Points per match | 0.30 | 1.60 |
| Goals per match | 0.90 | 1.50 |
| Goals conceded per match | 3.20 | 1.70 |
| Home / away goals scored | 4 | 10 |
| Home / away goals conceded | 13 | 7 |
| Last 5 points | 1 | 7 |
| Last 5 goals scored | 5 | 7 |
| Last 5 goals conceded | 20 | 6 |
| Win percentage | 0% | 40% |
Willem II Tilburg recent form
LLLLD
Fortuna Sittard recent form
DDWDD
Recent form
Willem II Tilburg
0W 2D 2L in the last 4 · 4 scored, 11 conceded
- Lat AFC Ajax1–5
- Dat AZ1–1
- Lvs SBV Excelsior0–3
- Dvs SC Heerenveen2–2
Fortuna Sittard
2W 0D 3L in the last 5 · 7 scored, 13 conceded
- Lvs AFC Ajax1–5
- Wat ADO Den Haag3–2
- Wat FC Groningen3–2
- Lvs AZ0–2
- Lat FC Utrecht0–2
Where to watch (UK)
Eredivisie matches are typically shown in the UK by Premier Sports. Kick-off is Sat 19 Sept, 20:00 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.
Model transparency
Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 29 August 2026
Last updated: 19 September 2026
Status: Locked
Prediction record
- Matches predicted
- 1000
- 1X2 accuracy
- 49.4%
- BTTS accuracy
- 55.9%
- Over 2.5 accuracy
- 58.6%
- Exact score
- 10.3%
Related predictions
Eredivisie
FC Twente '65 vs Willem II Tilburg
Home
91%
Draw
6%
Away
3%
- Predicted score: 4–0Over 2.5: 86%BTTS: 54%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Eredivisie
Go Ahead Eagles vs Fortuna Sittard
Home
41%
Draw
21%
Away
38%
- Predicted score: 1–1Over 2.5: 73%BTTS: 72%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Eredivisie
SBV Excelsior vs Telstar 1963
Home
18%
Draw
20%
Away
62%
- Predicted score: 1–2Over 2.5: 62%BTTS: 58%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.