Eredivisie · Matchweek 7

Willem II Tilburg vs Fortuna Sittard Prediction

Match essentials

Kick-off (UK)
Sat 19 Sept, 20:00 (BST)
Competition
Eredivisie
Round
Matchweek 7
Venue
To be confirmed

United Matchday prediction

Willem II Tilburg win25%
Draw19%
Fortuna Sittard win56%
Predicted score
1–2
Over 2.5 goals
78%
Under 2.5 goals
22%
BTTS yes
74%
Over 1.5 goals
92%
Over 3.5 goals
59%
BTTS no
26%
Expected goals
1.66 – 2.49

Low confidence

Why the model favours this outcome

Willem II Tilburg have scored at a below-average rate at home, which limits the model's home goal expectation. Combined attacking and defensive numbers point toward a higher-scoring game than average. Sample size is still small this season, so the model leans more heavily on longer-term ratings and lowers its confidence accordingly.

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–28.1%
  • 2–26.7%
  • 1–36.7%
  • 1–16.5%
  • 2–35.6%
  • 2–15.4%
  • 0–24.9%
  • 1–44.2%

Team comparison

StatisticWillem II TilburgFortuna Sittard
Matches played55
Points per match0.401.80
Goals per match0.801.60
Goals conceded per match2.402.20
Home / away goals scored27
Home / away goals conceded64
Last 5 points29
Last 5 goals scored48
Last 5 goals conceded1211
Win percentage0%60%

Willem II Tilburg recent form

DLDLL

Fortuna Sittard recent form

LWWLW

Recent form

Willem II Tilburg

0W 2D 2L in the last 4 · 4 scored, 11 conceded

  • Lat AFC Ajax1–5
  • Dat AZ1–1
  • Lvs SBV Excelsior0–3
  • Dvs SC Heerenveen2–2

Fortuna Sittard

2W 0D 3L in the last 5 · 7 scored, 13 conceded

  • Lvs AFC Ajax1–5
  • Wat ADO Den Haag3–2
  • Wat FC Groningen3–2
  • Lvs AZ0–2
  • Lat FC Utrecht0–2

Where to watch (UK)

Eredivisie matches are typically shown in the UK by Premier Sports. Kick-off is Sat 19 Sept, 20:00 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.

Model transparency

Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 29 August 2026
Last updated: 19 September 2026
Status: Locked

How predictions work

Prediction record

Matches predicted
510
1X2 accuracy
46.9%
BTTS accuracy
57.5%
Over 2.5 accuracy
58.8%
Exact score
10.6%

Related predictions

Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.