Championship · Matchweek 18

West Ham United FC vs Stoke City FC Prediction

Match essentials

Kick-off (UK)
Sat 28 Nov, 15:00 (GMT)
Competition
Championship
Round
Matchweek 18
Venue
To be confirmed

United Matchday prediction

West Ham United FC win40%
Draw21%
Stoke City FC win38%
Predicted score
1–1
Over 2.5 goals
72%
Under 2.5 goals
28%
BTTS yes
72%
Over 1.5 goals
89%
Over 3.5 goals
51%
BTTS no
28%
Expected goals
1.89 – 1.85

High confidence

Why the model favours this outcome

Home scoring numbers favour West Ham United FC, who have created goals at an above-average rate in front of their own crowd. The model credits Stoke City FC with an above-average away defensive record. Stoke City FC carry an above-average away scoring record into the fixture. The model expects a relatively open scoring environment in this match.

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–18.3%
  • 2–17.8%
  • 1–27.7%
  • 2–27.3%
  • 3–14.9%
  • 1–34.7%
  • 3–24.6%
  • 1–04.5%

Team comparison

StatisticWest Ham United FCStoke City FC
Matches played1514
Points per match1.532.07
Goals per match2.471.64
Goals conceded per match1.531.14
Home / away goals scored1812
Home / away goals conceded1112
Last 5 points413
Last 5 goals scored87
Last 5 goals conceded112
Win percentage40%64%

West Ham United FC recent form

WLLDL

Stoke City FC recent form

WDWWW

Recent form

West Ham United FC

1W 1D 3L in the last 5 · 8 scored, 11 conceded

  • Lat Blackburn Rovers FC1–2
  • Dat Cardiff City FC3–3
  • Lvs West Bromwich Albion FC1–3
  • Lvs Southampton FC2–3
  • Wat Swansea City AFC1–0

Stoke City FC

4W 1D 0L in the last 5 · 7 scored, 2 conceded

  • Wat Portsmouth FC2–1
  • Wat Blackburn Rovers FC2–1
  • Wvs Preston North End FC2–0
  • Dvs Bristol City FC0–0
  • Wat Derby County FC1–0

Model transparency

Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 7 November 2026
Last updated: 13 November 2026
Status: Live

How predictions work

Prediction record

Matches predicted
1000
1X2 accuracy
49.4%
BTTS accuracy
55.9%
Over 2.5 accuracy
58.6%
Exact score
10.3%

Related predictions

Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.