Championship
Swansea City AFC vs West Bromwich Albion FC
Home
34%
Draw
27%
Away
39%
- Predicted score: 1–1Over 2.5: 45%BTTS: 50%
High confidenceFull prediction
Championship · Matchweek 7
Watford FC vs Stoke City FC Prediction
Match essentials
- Kick-off (UK)
- Sat 12 Sept, 15:00 (BST)
- Competition
- Championship
- Round
- Matchweek 7
- Venue
- To be confirmed
United Matchday prediction
Watford FC win54%
Draw23%
Stoke City FC win23%
- Predicted score
- 1–1
- Over 2.5 goals
- 57%
- Under 2.5 goals
- 43%
- BTTS yes
- 57%
- Over 1.5 goals
- 80%
- Over 3.5 goals
- 35%
- BTTS no
- 43%
- Expected goals
- 1.85 – 1.14
Low confidence
Why the model favours this outcome
Away defensive numbers work against Stoke City FC, who have shipped goals above the Championship average on the road. Sample size is still small this season, so the model leans more heavily on longer-term ratings and lowers its confidence accordingly.
Most likely scorelines
- 1–110.6%
- 2–19.8%
- 1–09.3%
- 2–08.6%
- 1–26.1%
- 3–16.0%
- 0–15.8%
- 2–25.6%
Team comparison
| Statistic | Watford FC | Stoke City FC |
|---|---|---|
| Matches played | 15 | 14 |
| Points per match | 1.00 | 2.07 |
| Goals per match | 0.87 | 1.64 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.53 | 1.14 |
| Home / away goals scored | 9 | 12 |
| Home / away goals conceded | 9 | 12 |
| Last 5 points | 7 | 13 |
| Last 5 goals scored | 5 | 7 |
| Last 5 goals conceded | 4 | 2 |
| Win percentage | 27% | 64% |
Watford FC recent form
WLLWD
Stoke City FC recent form
WDWWW
Recent form
Watford FC
1W 2D 2L in the last 5 · 4 scored, 6 conceded
- Wvs Preston North End FC2–1
- Lat West Bromwich Albion FC0–1
- Lat Swansea City AFC0–2
- Dvs West Ham United FC1–1
- Dat Wrexham AFC1–1
Stoke City FC
2W 1D 2L in the last 5 · 8 scored, 8 conceded
- Dat Cardiff City FC1–1
- Wvs Charlton Athletic FC4–0
- Wvs Norwich City FC1–0
- Lat Wolverhampton Wanderers FC1–4
- Lat Southampton FC1–3
Model transparency
Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 23 August 2026
Last updated: 12 September 2026
Status: Locked
Prediction record
- Matches predicted
- 1000
- 1X2 accuracy
- 49.4%
- BTTS accuracy
- 55.9%
- Over 2.5 accuracy
- 58.6%
- Exact score
- 10.3%
Related predictions
Championship
West Ham United FC vs Preston North End FC
Home
76%
Draw
14%
Away
10%
- Predicted score: 2–1Over 2.5: 75%BTTS: 60%
High confidenceFull prediction
Championship
Middlesbrough FC vs Swansea City AFC
Home
68%
Draw
17%
Away
15%
- Predicted score: 2–1Over 2.5: 74%BTTS: 65%
High confidenceFull prediction
Championship
Norwich City FC vs Queens Park Rangers FC
Home
63%
Draw
18%
Away
19%
- Predicted score: 2–1Over 2.5: 73%BTTS: 67%
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Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.