Championship
Bolton Wanderers FC vs Middlesbrough FC
Home
29%
Draw
22%
Away
48%
- Predicted score: 1–1Over 2.5: 64%BTTS: 64%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Championship · Matchweek 15
Watford FC vs Middlesbrough FC Prediction
Match essentials
- Kick-off (UK)
- Sat 7 Nov, 15:00 (GMT)
- Competition
- Championship
- Round
- Matchweek 15
- Venue
- To be confirmed
United Matchday prediction
Watford FC win20%
Draw21%
Middlesbrough FC win59%
- Predicted score
- 1–2
- Over 2.5 goals
- 63%
- Under 2.5 goals
- 37%
- BTTS yes
- 60%
- Over 1.5 goals
- 84%
- Over 3.5 goals
- 41%
- BTTS no
- 40%
- Expected goals
- 1.15 – 2.10
Medium confidence
Why the model favours this outcome
Watford FC have scored at a below-average rate at home, which limits the model's home goal expectation. Middlesbrough FC's travelling attack has outperformed the competition average. Combined attacking and defensive numbers point toward a higher-scoring game than average. Middlesbrough FC arrive in stronger recent form, which the model weights alongside season-long numbers.
Most likely scorelines
- 1–29.8%
- 1–19.3%
- 0–28.5%
- 0–18.1%
- 1–36.9%
- 0–36.0%
- 2–25.7%
- 2–15.4%
Team comparison
| Statistic | Watford FC | Middlesbrough FC |
|---|---|---|
| Matches played | 11 | 10 |
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.90 |
| Goals per match | 0.91 | 2.00 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.73 | 1.50 |
| Home / away goals scored | 8 | 8 |
| Home / away goals conceded | 9 | 7 |
| Last 5 points | 3 | 9 |
| Last 5 goals scored | 4 | 10 |
| Last 5 goals conceded | 12 | 8 |
| Win percentage | 27% | 50% |
Watford FC recent form
LLLLW
Middlesbrough FC recent form
DDWWD
Recent form
Watford FC
1W 0D 4L in the last 5 · 4 scored, 12 conceded
- Wvs Charlton Athletic FC2–0
- Lat Cardiff City FC1–5
- Lvs Burnley FC0–4
- Lat Bristol City FC0–1
- Lvs Stoke City FC1–2
Middlesbrough FC
2W 3D 0L in the last 5 · 10 scored, 8 conceded
- Dvs Cardiff City FC2–2
- Wat Stoke City FC3–2
- Wvs Wolverhampton Wanderers FC1–0
- Dat Birmingham City FC2–2
- Dvs Millwall FC2–2
Model transparency
Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 17 October 2026
Last updated: 17 October 2026
Status: Live
Prediction record
- Matches predicted
- 672
- 1X2 accuracy
- 47.0%
- BTTS accuracy
- 55.5%
- Over 2.5 accuracy
- 57.9%
- Exact score
- 10.3%
Related predictions
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Portsmouth FC vs Millwall FC
Home
52%
Draw
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Away
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- Predicted score: 2–1Over 2.5: 66%BTTS: 65%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
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Home
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Draw
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Away
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Sheffield United FC vs Wrexham AFC
Home
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Draw
24%
Away
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- Predicted score: 1–1Over 2.5: 59%BTTS: 61%
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Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.