Championship · Matchweek 12

Portsmouth FC vs Millwall FC Prediction

Match essentials

Kick-off (UK)
Sat 24 Oct, 12:30 (BST)
Competition
Championship
Round
Matchweek 12
Venue
To be confirmed

United Matchday prediction

Portsmouth FC win51%
Draw22%
Millwall FC win27%
Predicted score
2–1
Over 2.5 goals
67%
Under 2.5 goals
33%
BTTS yes
66%
Over 1.5 goals
86%
Over 3.5 goals
45%
BTTS no
34%
Expected goals
2.01 – 1.43

Medium confidence

Why the model favours this outcome

The model sees Portsmouth FC's home attacking output as weaker than the Championship baseline. Millwall FC have conceded at a higher rate away from home than the competition average. Millwall FC carry an above-average away scoring record into the fixture. The model expects a relatively open scoring environment in this match.

Most likely scorelines

  • 2–19.3%
  • 1–19.2%
  • 2–26.6%
  • 1–26.6%
  • 2–06.5%
  • 1–06.4%
  • 3–16.2%
  • 0–14.6%

Team comparison

StatisticPortsmouth FCMillwall FC
Matches played67
Points per match1.331.14
Goals per match1.331.86
Goals conceded per match1.172.14
Home / away goals scored44
Home / away goals conceded410
Last 5 points55
Last 5 goals scored59
Last 5 goals conceded610
Win percentage33%29%

Portsmouth FC recent form

LLWDD

Millwall FC recent form

LWLDD

Recent form

Portsmouth FC

1W 2D 2L in the last 5 · 5 scored, 6 conceded

  • Dvs Blackburn Rovers FC2–2
  • Dat Charlton Athletic FC0–0
  • Wvs Cardiff City FC2–0
  • Lvs Derby County FC0–2
  • Lat Bristol City FC1–2

Millwall FC

1W 2D 2L in the last 5 · 9 scored, 10 conceded

  • Dvs West Ham United FC2–2
  • Dat Middlesbrough FC2–2
  • Lat Blackburn Rovers FC1–3
  • Wvs Bolton Wanderers FC4–0
  • Lvs Wrexham AFC0–3

Model transparency

Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 3 October 2026
Last updated: 3 October 2026
Status: Live

How predictions work

Prediction record

Matches predicted
511
1X2 accuracy
47.0%
BTTS accuracy
57.5%
Over 2.5 accuracy
58.7%
Exact score
10.6%

Related predictions

Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.