Championship
Swansea City AFC vs West Bromwich Albion FC
Home
34%
Draw
27%
Away
39%
- Predicted score: 1–1Over 2.5: 45%BTTS: 50%
High confidenceFull prediction
Championship · Matchweek 9
Watford FC vs Burnley FC Prediction
Match essentials
- Kick-off (UK)
- Sat 10 Oct, 15:00 (BST)
- Competition
- Championship
- Round
- Matchweek 9
- Venue
- To be confirmed
United Matchday prediction
Watford FC win54%
Draw24%
Burnley FC win23%
- Predicted score
- 1–1
- Over 2.5 goals
- 53%
- Under 2.5 goals
- 47%
- BTTS yes
- 54%
- Over 1.5 goals
- 77%
- Over 3.5 goals
- 31%
- BTTS no
- 46%
- Expected goals
- 1.75 – 1.06
Medium confidence
Why the model favours this outcome
The model sees Watford FC's home attacking output as weaker than the Championship baseline. Burnley FC have conceded at a higher rate away from home than the competition average.
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.2%
- 1–010.5%
- 2–19.8%
- 2–09.2%
- 0–16.4%
- 0–06.0%
- 1–25.9%
- 3–15.7%
Team comparison
| Statistic | Watford FC | Burnley FC |
|---|---|---|
| Matches played | 15 | 15 |
| Points per match | 1.00 | 0.67 |
| Goals per match | 0.87 | 1.47 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.53 | 2.07 |
| Home / away goals scored | 9 | 14 |
| Home / away goals conceded | 9 | 21 |
| Last 5 points | 7 | 2 |
| Last 5 goals scored | 5 | 7 |
| Last 5 goals conceded | 4 | 12 |
| Win percentage | 27% | 7% |
Watford FC recent form
WLLWD
Burnley FC recent form
LLDDL
Recent form
Watford FC
1W 0D 4L in the last 5 · 3 scored, 7 conceded
- Lat Bristol City FC0–1
- Lvs Stoke City FC1–2
- Wvs Preston North End FC2–1
- Lat West Bromwich Albion FC0–1
- Lat Swansea City AFC0–2
Burnley FC
0W 3D 2L in the last 5 · 5 scored, 8 conceded
- Dvs Derby County FC1–1
- Lat Swansea City AFC1–3
- Dat Wrexham AFC1–1
- Lvs Bristol City FC1–2
- Dvs Middlesbrough FC1–1
Model transparency
Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 19 September 2026
Last updated: 10 October 2026
Status: Locked
Prediction record
- Matches predicted
- 1000
- 1X2 accuracy
- 49.4%
- BTTS accuracy
- 55.9%
- Over 2.5 accuracy
- 58.6%
- Exact score
- 10.3%
Related predictions
Championship
West Ham United FC vs Preston North End FC
Home
76%
Draw
14%
Away
10%
- Predicted score: 2–1Over 2.5: 75%BTTS: 60%
High confidenceFull prediction
Championship
Middlesbrough FC vs Swansea City AFC
Home
68%
Draw
17%
Away
15%
- Predicted score: 2–1Over 2.5: 74%BTTS: 65%
High confidenceFull prediction
Championship
Norwich City FC vs Queens Park Rangers FC
Home
63%
Draw
18%
Away
19%
- Predicted score: 2–1Over 2.5: 73%BTTS: 67%
High confidenceFull prediction
Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.