Primeira Liga
Vitória SC vs CF Estrela da Amadora
Home
62%
Draw
22%
Away
17%
- Predicted score: 1–0Over 2.5: 54%BTTS: 51%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Primeira Liga · Matchweek 7
Vitória SC vs Moreirense FC Prediction
Match essentials
- Kick-off (UK)
- Sun 20 Sept, 15:30 (BST)
- Competition
- Primeira Liga
- Round
- Matchweek 7
- Venue
- To be confirmed
United Matchday prediction
Vitória SC win49%
Draw29%
Moreirense FC win22%
- Predicted score
- 1–0
- Over 2.5 goals
- 35%
- Under 2.5 goals
- 65%
- BTTS yes
- 40%
- Over 1.5 goals
- 62%
- Over 3.5 goals
- 16%
- BTTS no
- 60%
- Expected goals
- 1.31 – 0.79
Low confidence
Why the model favours this outcome
Vitória SC have scored at a below-average rate at home, which limits the model's home goal expectation. Away defensive numbers work against Moreirense FC, who have shipped goals above the Primeira Liga average on the road. Vitória SC's home defensive record is tighter than the competition average, which suppresses the away goal expectation. The model expects a lower-scoring game than the competition average.
Most likely scorelines
- 1–016.1%
- 1–112.7%
- 0–012.3%
- 2–010.5%
- 0–19.7%
- 2–18.3%
- 1–25.0%
- 3–04.6%
Team comparison
| Statistic | Vitória SC | Moreirense FC |
|---|---|---|
| Matches played | 9 | 10 |
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.30 |
| Goals per match | 1.00 | 1.10 |
| Goals conceded per match | 0.89 | 1.60 |
| Home / away goals scored | 8 | 6 |
| Home / away goals conceded | 3 | 9 |
| Last 5 points | 5 | 7 |
| Last 5 goals scored | 7 | 6 |
| Last 5 goals conceded | 5 | 5 |
| Win percentage | 22% | 40% |
Vitória SC recent form
DLWDL
Moreirense FC recent form
DLWWL
Recent form
Vitória SC
1W 1D 2L in the last 4 · 2 scored, 3 conceded
- Lat Académico de Viseu FC1–2
- Dvs Casa Pia AC0–0
- Lat Sporting Clube de Braga0–1
- Wvs CD Nacional1–0
Moreirense FC
2W 0D 3L in the last 5 · 5 scored, 11 conceded
- Wvs CS Marítimo3–1
- Lvs Sport Lisboa e Benfica0–4
- Lat FC Porto1–2
- Wat Casa Pia AC1–0
- Lat FC Arouca0–4
Where to watch (UK)
Primeira Liga matches are typically shown in the UK by Premier Sports. Kick-off is Sun 20 Sept, 15:30 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.
Model transparency
Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 29 August 2026
Last updated: 20 September 2026
Status: Locked
Prediction record
- Matches predicted
- 1000
- 1X2 accuracy
- 49.4%
- BTTS accuracy
- 55.9%
- Over 2.5 accuracy
- 58.6%
- Exact score
- 10.3%
Related predictions
Primeira Liga
Casa Pia AC vs Sporting Clube de Braga
Home
14%
Draw
24%
Away
62%
- Predicted score: 0–1Over 2.5: 39%BTTS: 38%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.