Primera Division · Matchweek 15

Villarreal CF vs Real Sociedad de Fútbol Prediction

Match essentials

Kick-off (UK)
Sun 6 Dec, 00:00 (GMT)
Competition
Primera Division
Round
Matchweek 15
Venue
To be confirmed

United Matchday prediction

Villarreal CF win39%
Draw22%
Real Sociedad de Fútbol win39%
Predicted score
1–1
Over 2.5 goals
67%
Under 2.5 goals
33%
BTTS yes
68%
Over 1.5 goals
86%
Over 3.5 goals
45%
BTTS no
32%
Expected goals
1.73 – 1.72

High confidence

Why the model favours this outcome

Villarreal CF have scored at a below-average rate at home, which limits the model's home goal expectation. Away defensive numbers work against Real Sociedad de Fútbol, who have shipped goals above the Primera Division average on the road. Real Sociedad de Fútbol's travelling attack has outperformed the competition average. Combined attacking and defensive numbers point toward a higher-scoring game than average.

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–19.4%
  • 2–18.2%
  • 1–28.1%
  • 2–27.0%
  • 1–05.5%
  • 0–15.5%
  • 2–04.7%
  • 0–24.7%

Team comparison

StatisticVillarreal CFReal Sociedad de Fútbol
Matches played1212
Points per match1.251.83
Goals per match1.421.75
Goals conceded per match1.251.67
Home / away goals scored813
Home / away goals conceded713
Last 5 points712
Last 5 goals scored412
Last 5 goals conceded37
Win percentage33%58%

Villarreal CF recent form

LDWLW

Real Sociedad de Fútbol recent form

WWWLW

Recent form

Villarreal CF

2W 0D 3L in the last 5 · 7 scored, 12 conceded

  • Wvs Getafe CF2–0
  • Lvs Paris Saint-Germain0–6
  • Lvs RCD Espanyol de Barcelona0–1
  • Wat Valencia CF2–1
  • Lat Liverpool FC3–4

Real Sociedad de Fútbol

4W 0D 1L in the last 5 · 12 scored, 7 conceded

  • Wvs Rayo Vallecano de Madrid1–0
  • Lat Athletic Club1–2
  • Wvs Levante UD2–1
  • Wat Málaga CF5–2
  • Wvs RC Deportivo La Coruña3–2

Model transparency

Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 15 November 2026
Last updated: 15 November 2026
Status: Live

How predictions work

Prediction record

Matches predicted
1000
1X2 accuracy
49.4%
BTTS accuracy
55.9%
Over 2.5 accuracy
58.6%
Exact score
10.3%

Related predictions

Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.