Primera Division · Matchweek 15

Barcelona vs RC Celta de Vigo Prediction

Match essentials

Kick-off (UK)
Sun 6 Dec, 00:00 (GMT)
Kick-off (local)
Sun 6 Dec, 01:00 (CET)
Competition
Primera Division
Round
Matchweek 15
Venue
Barcelona, Spain

United Matchday prediction

Barcelona win81%
Draw13%
RC Celta de Vigo win6%
Predicted score
2–0
Over 2.5 goals
64%
Under 2.5 goals
36%
BTTS yes
42%
Over 1.5 goals
84%
Over 3.5 goals
42%
BTTS no
58%
Expected goals
2.69 – 0.61

High confidence

Why the model favours this outcome

Home scoring numbers favour Barcelona, who have created goals at an above-average rate in front of their own crowd. RC Celta de Vigo have defended well on the road, conceding less often than the average travelling side. Combined attacking and defensive numbers point toward a higher-scoring game than average. Recent results also favour Barcelona, whose points-per-match rate over the last five games is above average.

Most likely scorelines

  • 2–013.4%
  • 3–012.0%
  • 1–010.0%
  • 2–18.1%
  • 4–08.1%
  • 3–17.3%
  • 1–16.0%
  • 4–14.9%

Team comparison

StatisticBarcelonaRC Celta de Vigo
Matches played1212
Points per match2.751.08
Goals per match4.000.83
Goals conceded per match1.080.83
Home / away goals scored241
Home / away goals conceded74
Last 5 points126
Last 5 goals scored172
Last 5 goals conceded64
Win percentage92%17%

Barcelona recent form

WWLWW

RC Celta de Vigo recent form

DWDLD

Recent form

Barcelona

3W 0D 2L in the last 5 · 14 scored, 8 conceded

  • Wat Atlético Madrid2–1
  • Wvs Aston Villa FC3–0
  • Wvs Deportivo Alavés6–1
  • Lvs Real Madrid1–2
  • Lat Paris Saint-Germain2–4

RC Celta de Vigo

1W 3D 1L in the last 5 · 2 scored, 4 conceded

  • Dvs Levante UD0–0
  • Lat Rayo Vallecano de Madrid0–3
  • Dvs Real Betis Balompié0–0
  • Wvs Deportivo Alavés2–1
  • Dat Elche CF0–0

Team news

Model transparency

Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 15 November 2026
Last updated: 15 November 2026
Status: Live

How predictions work

Prediction record

Matches predicted
1000
1X2 accuracy
49.4%
BTTS accuracy
55.9%
Over 2.5 accuracy
58.6%
Exact score
10.3%

Related predictions

Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.