Primera Division · Matchweek 5

Villarreal CF vs Real Betis Balompié Prediction

Match essentials

Kick-off (UK)
Mon 14 Sept, 20:00 (BST)
Competition
Primera Division
Round
Matchweek 5
Venue
To be confirmed

United Matchday prediction

Villarreal CF win36%
Draw21%
Real Betis Balompié win43%
Predicted score
1–2
Over 2.5 goals
74%
Under 2.5 goals
26%
BTTS yes
73%
Over 1.5 goals
90%
Over 3.5 goals
54%
BTTS no
27%
Expected goals
1.85 – 2.01

Low confidence

Why the model favours this outcome

The model expects a relatively open scoring environment in this match. The model sees relatively little separation between the two teams. Real Betis Balompié arrive in stronger recent form, which the model weights alongside season-long numbers. Sample size is still small this season, so the model leans more heavily on longer-term ratings and lowers its confidence accordingly.

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–27.9%
  • 1–17.9%
  • 2–27.3%
  • 2–17.3%
  • 1–35.3%
  • 2–34.9%
  • 3–24.5%
  • 3–14.5%

Team comparison

StatisticVillarreal CFReal Betis Balompié
Matches played77
Points per match1.142.29
Goals per match1.861.29
Goals conceded per match1.711.00
Home / away goals scored66
Home / away goals conceded67
Last 5 points610
Last 5 goals scored97
Last 5 goals conceded87
Win percentage29%71%

Villarreal CF recent form

LLLWW

Real Betis Balompié recent form

LWWWD

Recent form

Villarreal CF

0W 2D 3L in the last 5 · 8 scored, 11 conceded

  • Lat Borussia Dortmund2–3
  • Lvs RC Deportivo La Coruña2–3
  • Lat Deportivo Alavés0–1
  • Dat Atlético Madrid2–2
  • Dat Real Racing Club de Santander2–2

Real Betis Balompié

4W 0D 1L in the last 5 · 8 scored, 7 conceded

  • Wat Lille OSC3–2
  • Wvs Real Madrid1–0
  • Lat Levante UD2–5
  • Wat Valencia CF1–0
  • Wvs Real Sociedad de Fútbol1–0

Model transparency

Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 23 August 2026
Last updated: 14 September 2026
Status: Locked

How predictions work

Prediction record

Matches predicted
510
1X2 accuracy
46.9%
BTTS accuracy
57.5%
Over 2.5 accuracy
58.8%
Exact score
10.6%

Related predictions

Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.