UEFA Champions League
ŠK Slovan Bratislava vs VfB Stuttgart
Home
28%
Draw
18%
Away
54%
- Predicted score: 1–2Over 2.5: 85%BTTS: 80%
Low confidenceFull prediction
UEFA Champions League · Matchweek 4
Villarreal CF vs Paris Saint-Germain Prediction
Match essentials
- Kick-off (UK)
- Tue 3 Nov, 20:00 (GMT+0)
- Competition
- UEFA Champions League
- Round
- Matchweek 4
- Venue
- To be confirmed
United Matchday prediction
Villarreal CF win35%
Draw19%
Paris Saint-Germain win47%
- Predicted score
- 2–2
- Over 2.5 goals
- 86%
- Under 2.5 goals
- 14%
- BTTS yes
- 83%
- Over 1.5 goals
- 95%
- Over 3.5 goals
- 71%
- BTTS no
- 17%
- Expected goals
- 2.24 – 2.59
Low confidence
Why the model favours this outcome
Paris Saint-Germain carry an above-average away scoring record into the fixture. The model expects a relatively open scoring environment in this match. Paris Saint-Germain arrive in stronger recent form, which the model weights alongside season-long numbers. Sample size is still small this season, so the model leans more heavily on longer-term ratings and lowers its confidence accordingly.
Most likely scorelines
- 2–26.7%
- 1–26.0%
- 2–35.8%
- 2–15.2%
- 1–35.2%
- 3–25.0%
- 1–14.6%
- 3–34.3%
Team comparison
| Statistic | Villarreal CF | Paris Saint-Germain |
|---|---|---|
| Matches played | 2 | 1 |
| Points per match | 1.50 | 3.00 |
| Goals per match | 2.50 | 6.00 |
| Goals conceded per match | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| Home / away goals scored | 3 | 0 |
| Home / away goals conceded | 1 | 0 |
| Last 5 points | 3 | 3 |
| Last 5 goals scored | 5 | 6 |
| Last 5 goals conceded | 4 | 1 |
| Win percentage | 50% | 100% |
Villarreal CF recent form
LW
Paris Saint-Germain recent form
W
Recent form
Villarreal CF
3W 0D 2L in the last 5 · 10 scored, 6 conceded
- Wvs SSC Napoli3–1
- Lat Real Madrid0–1
- Wvs Levante UD3–1
- Wat Málaga CF3–1
- Lvs Real Betis Balompié1–2
Paris Saint-Germain
4W 0D 1L in the last 5 · 13 scored, 5 conceded
- Wvs Le Mans FC3–1
- Wat Olympique de Marseille2–1
- Wat Stade Brestois 291–0
- Wvs ŠK Slovan Bratislava6–1
- Lvs AS Monaco FC1–2
Team news
Paris Saint-Germain
- JJ Gabriel transfer news: Man Utd wonderkid attracting interest from Real Madrid, Barcelona, PSG, Bayern Munic
- Tough start for PSG but Luis Enrique has faith in burst of ‘new energy’ from signings
- Barcola joins Liverpool from PSG in £123m move
- Liverpool finalise agreement to sign PSG's Barcola in deal worth up to £123 million, reports say
Where to watch (UK)
UEFA Champions League matches are typically shown in the UK by TNT Sports, Amazon Prime Video (selected Tuesday tie). Kick-off is Tue 3 Nov, 20:00 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.
Model transparency
Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 13 October 2026
Last updated: 13 October 2026
Status: Live
Prediction record
- Matches predicted
- 626
- 1X2 accuracy
- 46.8%
- BTTS accuracy
- 56.7%
- Over 2.5 accuracy
- 58.5%
- Exact score
- 11.0%
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Draw
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Away
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Draw
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Away
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FK Shakhtar Donetsk vs Sporting Clube de Portugal
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Draw
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Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.