Primera Division · Matchweek 9

Villarreal CF vs Elche CF Prediction

Match essentials

Kick-off (UK)
Sat 17 Oct, 15:15 (BST)
Competition
Primera Division
Round
Matchweek 9
Venue
To be confirmed

United Matchday prediction

Villarreal CF win46%
Draw21%
Elche CF win33%
Predicted score
1–1
Over 2.5 goals
71%
Under 2.5 goals
29%
BTTS yes
70%
Over 1.5 goals
88%
Over 3.5 goals
50%
BTTS no
30%
Expected goals
1.99 – 1.67

Medium confidence

Why the model favours this outcome

Elche CF carry an above-average away scoring record into the fixture. The model expects a relatively open scoring environment in this match.

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–18.6%
  • 2–18.5%
  • 1–27.2%
  • 2–27.1%
  • 3–15.6%
  • 1–05.1%
  • 2–05.1%
  • 3–24.7%

Team comparison

StatisticVillarreal CFElche CF
Matches played1212
Points per match1.250.83
Goals per match1.421.17
Goals conceded per match1.251.67
Home / away goals scored810
Home / away goals conceded76
Last 5 points75
Last 5 goals scored43
Last 5 goals conceded33
Win percentage33%17%

Villarreal CF recent form

LDWLW

Elche CF recent form

DDWLL

Recent form

Villarreal CF

3W 0D 2L in the last 5 · 10 scored, 6 conceded

  • Wvs SSC Napoli3–1
  • Lat Real Madrid0–1
  • Wvs Levante UD3–1
  • Wat Málaga CF3–1
  • Lvs Real Betis Balompié1–2

Elche CF

1W 2D 2L in the last 5 · 8 scored, 8 conceded

  • Dvs RC Celta de Vigo0–0
  • Wat RCD Espanyol de Barcelona3–1
  • Lvs Real Madrid2–3
  • Dat Athletic Club1–1
  • Lvs Real Sociedad de Fútbol2–3

Model transparency

Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 26 September 2026
Last updated: 17 October 2026
Status: Locked

How predictions work

Prediction record

Matches predicted
1000
1X2 accuracy
49.4%
BTTS accuracy
55.9%
Over 2.5 accuracy
58.6%
Exact score
10.3%

Related predictions

Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.