Primera Division
Málaga CF vs RCD Espanyol de Barcelona
Home
27%
Draw
28%
Away
45%
- Predicted score: 0–1Over 2.5: 40%BTTS: 46%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Primera Division · Matchweek 9
Villarreal CF vs Elche CF Prediction
Match essentials
- Kick-off (UK)
- Sat 17 Oct, 15:15 (BST)
- Competition
- Primera Division
- Round
- Matchweek 9
- Venue
- To be confirmed
United Matchday prediction
Villarreal CF win48%
Draw21%
Elche CF win31%
- Predicted score
- 2–1
- Over 2.5 goals
- 73%
- Under 2.5 goals
- 27%
- BTTS yes
- 72%
- Over 1.5 goals
- 89%
- Over 3.5 goals
- 53%
- BTTS no
- 28%
- Expected goals
- 2.13 – 1.69
Medium confidence
Why the model favours this outcome
Elche CF carry an above-average away scoring record into the fixture. The model expects a relatively open scoring environment in this match.
Most likely scorelines
- 2–18.4%
- 1–17.9%
- 2–27.1%
- 1–26.7%
- 3–16.0%
- 3–25.0%
- 2–05.0%
- 1–04.7%
Team comparison
| Statistic | Villarreal CF | Elche CF |
|---|---|---|
| Matches played | 7 | 7 |
| Points per match | 1.14 | 0.71 |
| Goals per match | 1.86 | 1.57 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.71 | 2.43 |
| Home / away goals scored | 6 | 7 |
| Home / away goals conceded | 6 | 6 |
| Last 5 points | 6 | 4 |
| Last 5 goals scored | 9 | 10 |
| Last 5 goals conceded | 8 | 11 |
| Win percentage | 29% | 14% |
Villarreal CF recent form
LLLWW
Elche CF recent form
LLDLW
Recent form
Villarreal CF
2W 0D 3L in the last 5 · 11 scored, 10 conceded
- Wvs Levante UD3–1
- Wat Málaga CF3–1
- Lvs Real Betis Balompié1–2
- Lat Borussia Dortmund2–3
- Lvs RC Deportivo La Coruña2–3
Elche CF
1W 1D 3L in the last 5 · 10 scored, 11 conceded
- Wat RCD Espanyol de Barcelona3–1
- Lvs Real Madrid2–3
- Dat Athletic Club1–1
- Lvs Real Sociedad de Fútbol2–3
- Lat Real Racing Club de Santander2–3
Model transparency
Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 26 September 2026
Last updated: 29 September 2026
Status: Live
Prediction record
- Matches predicted
- 510
- 1X2 accuracy
- 46.9%
- BTTS accuracy
- 57.5%
- Over 2.5 accuracy
- 58.8%
- Exact score
- 10.6%
Related predictions
Primera Division
Real Racing Club de Santander vs Valencia CF
Home
53%
Draw
22%
Away
25%
- Predicted score: 1–1Over 2.5: 62%BTTS: 61%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Primera Division
Levante UD vs Sevilla FC
Home
35%
Draw
21%
Away
44%
- Predicted score: 1–2Over 2.5: 73%BTTS: 72%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Primera Division
CA Osasuna vs Real Racing Club de Santander
Home
51%
Draw
23%
Away
26%
- Predicted score: 1–1Over 2.5: 60%BTTS: 60%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.