UEFA Champions League · Matchweek 3

VfB Stuttgart vs Atlético Madrid Prediction

Match essentials

Kick-off (UK)
Tue 20 Oct, 20:00 (BST)
Competition
UEFA Champions League
Round
Matchweek 3
Venue
To be confirmed

United Matchday prediction

VfB Stuttgart win78%
Draw13%
Atlético Madrid win9%
Predicted score
3–1
Over 2.5 goals
79%
Under 2.5 goals
21%
BTTS yes
62%
Over 1.5 goals
92%
Over 3.5 goals
60%
BTTS no
38%
Expected goals
3.13 – 1.05

Low confidence

Why the model favours this outcome

The model expects a relatively open scoring environment in this match. Recent results also favour VfB Stuttgart, whose points-per-match rate over the last five games is above average. Sample size is still small this season, so the model leans more heavily on longer-term ratings and lowers its confidence accordingly.

Most likely scorelines

  • 3–18.3%
  • 2–17.9%
  • 3–07.9%
  • 2–07.5%
  • 4–16.5%
  • 4–06.2%
  • 1–15.0%
  • 1–04.8%

Team comparison

StatisticVfB StuttgartAtlético Madrid
Matches played11
Points per match3.000.00
Goals per match3.001.00
Goals conceded per match1.002.00
Home / away goals scored31
Home / away goals conceded12
Last 5 points30
Last 5 goals scored31
Last 5 goals conceded12
Win percentage100%0%

VfB Stuttgart recent form

W

Atlético Madrid recent form

L

Recent form

VfB Stuttgart

2W 0D 3L in the last 5 · 9 scored, 10 conceded

  • Lvs Borussia Dortmund0–1
  • Lat TSG 1899 Hoffenheim1–2
  • Wvs Viking FK3–1
  • Wvs 1. FC Köln4–1
  • Lat Bayern Munich1–5

Atlético Madrid

3W 0D 2L in the last 5 · 10 scored, 6 conceded

  • Wvs Real Madrid2–1
  • Wvs CA Osasuna4–0
  • Wat Real Sociedad de Fútbol3–0
  • Lat Liverpool FC1–2
  • Lat Athletic Club0–3

Team news

Where to watch (UK)

UEFA Champions League matches are typically shown in the UK by TNT Sports, Amazon Prime Video (selected Tuesday tie). Kick-off is Tue 20 Oct, 20:00 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.

Model transparency

Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 29 September 2026
Last updated: 29 September 2026
Status: Live

How predictions work

Prediction record

Matches predicted
510
1X2 accuracy
46.9%
BTTS accuracy
57.5%
Over 2.5 accuracy
58.8%
Exact score
10.6%

Related predictions

Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.