UEFA Champions League · Matchweek 3

VfB Stuttgart vs Atlético Madrid Prediction

Tue 20 Oct, 20:00

Match essentials

Kick-off (UK): Tue 20 Oct, 20:00 (BST)
Competition: UEFA Champions League
Round: Matchweek 3
Venue: To be confirmed

United Matchday prediction

VfB Stuttgart win70%

Draw15%

Atlético Madrid win15%

Predicted score: 2–1
Over 2.5 goals: 80%
Under 2.5 goals: 20%
BTTS yes: 70%

Over 1.5 goals: 93%
Over 3.5 goals: 62%
BTTS no: 30%
Expected goals: 2.94 – 1.34

Low confidence

Why the model favours this outcome

The model expects fewer away goals given VfB Stuttgart's home defensive numbers. The model expects a relatively open scoring environment in this match. Recent results also favour VfB Stuttgart, whose points-per-match rate over the last five games is above average. Sample size is still small this season, so the model leans more heavily on longer-term ratings and lowers its confidence accordingly.

Most likely scorelines

2–18.0%
3–17.9%
2–06.0%
3–05.9%
4–15.8%
1–15.5%
2–25.4%
3–25.3%

Team comparison

Statistic	VfB Stuttgart	Atlético Madrid
Matches played	4	4
Points per match	1.75	1.00
Goals per match	1.75	1.00
Goals conceded per match	1.00	1.25
Home / away goals scored	4	2
Home / away goals conceded	2	3
Last 5 points	7	4
Last 5 goals scored	7	4
Last 5 goals conceded	4	5
Win percentage	50%	25%

VfB Stuttgart recent form

WWDL

Atlético Madrid recent form

LWDL

Recent form

VfB Stuttgart

2W 0D 3L in the last 5 · 6 scored, 4 conceded

Lat Hamburger SV0–1
Wat ŠK Slovan Bratislava3–0
Wat SC Paderborn 072–0
Lvs Borussia Dortmund0–1
Lat TSG 1899 Hoffenheim1–2

Atlético Madrid

5W 0D 0L in the last 5 · 11 scored, 2 conceded

Wat RCD Espanyol de Barcelona1–0
Wvs Manchester United FC2–0
Wat Deportivo Alavés2–1
Wvs Real Madrid2–1
Wvs CA Osasuna4–0

Team news

VfB Stuttgart

All VfB Stuttgart news →

Atlético Madrid

All Atlético Madrid news →

Where to watch (UK)

UEFA Champions League matches are typically shown in the UK by TNT Sports, Amazon Prime Video (selected Tuesday tie). Kick-off is Tue 20 Oct, 20:00 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.