Serie A · Matchweek 5

Venezia FC vs SS Lazio Prediction

Match essentials

Kick-off (UK)
Sat 19 Sept, 19:45 (BST)
Competition
Serie A
Round
Matchweek 5
Venue
To be confirmed

United Matchday prediction

Venezia FC win12%
Draw17%
SS Lazio win70%
Predicted score
0–2
Over 2.5 goals
63%
Under 2.5 goals
37%
BTTS yes
53%
Over 1.5 goals
83%
Over 3.5 goals
41%
BTTS no
47%
Expected goals
0.88 – 2.36

Low confidence

Why the model favours this outcome

Venezia FC have scored at a below-average rate at home, which limits the model's home goal expectation. SS Lazio have defended well on the road, conceding less often than the average travelling side. Combined attacking and defensive numbers point toward a higher-scoring game than average. SS Lazio arrive in stronger recent form, which the model weights alongside season-long numbers.

Most likely scorelines

  • 0–210.9%
  • 1–29.6%
  • 0–19.3%
  • 0–38.6%
  • 1–18.2%
  • 1–37.6%
  • 0–45.1%
  • 1–44.5%

Team comparison

StatisticVenezia FCSS Lazio
Matches played55
Points per match0.002.60
Goals per match0.801.60
Goals conceded per match2.600.60
Home / away goals scored25
Home / away goals conceded81
Last 5 points013
Last 5 goals scored48
Last 5 goals conceded133
Win percentage0%80%

Venezia FC recent form

LLLLL

SS Lazio recent form

WWWDW

Recent form

Venezia FC

0W 0D 4L in the last 4 · 4 scored, 11 conceded

  • Lvs ACF Fiorentina2–4
  • Lat Frosinone Calcio2–3
  • Lat AC Milan0–2
  • Lvs US Lecce0–2

SS Lazio

4W 1D 0L in the last 5 · 8 scored, 4 conceded

  • Dvs AC Milan2–2
  • Wat Udinese Calcio2–1
  • Wvs Genoa CFC1–0
  • Wat Bologna FC 19091–0
  • Wvs AC Pisa 19092–1

Where to watch (UK)

Serie A matches are typically shown in the UK by TNT Sports. Kick-off is Sat 19 Sept, 19:45 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.

Model transparency

Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 29 August 2026
Last updated: 19 September 2026
Status: Locked

How predictions work

Prediction record

Matches predicted
510
1X2 accuracy
46.9%
BTTS accuracy
57.5%
Over 2.5 accuracy
58.8%
Exact score
10.6%

Related predictions

Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.