Serie A
Parma Calcio 1913 vs AS Roma
Home
8%
Draw
14%
Away
78%
- Predicted score: 0–2Over 2.5: 68%BTTS: 51%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Serie A · Matchweek 5
Venezia FC vs SS Lazio Prediction
Match essentials
- Kick-off (UK)
- Sat 19 Sept, 19:45 (BST)
- Competition
- Serie A
- Round
- Matchweek 5
- Venue
- To be confirmed
United Matchday prediction
Venezia FC win12%
Draw17%
SS Lazio win70%
- Predicted score
- 0–2
- Over 2.5 goals
- 63%
- Under 2.5 goals
- 37%
- BTTS yes
- 53%
- Over 1.5 goals
- 83%
- Over 3.5 goals
- 41%
- BTTS no
- 47%
- Expected goals
- 0.88 – 2.36
Low confidence
Why the model favours this outcome
Venezia FC have scored at a below-average rate at home, which limits the model's home goal expectation. SS Lazio have defended well on the road, conceding less often than the average travelling side. Combined attacking and defensive numbers point toward a higher-scoring game than average. SS Lazio arrive in stronger recent form, which the model weights alongside season-long numbers.
Most likely scorelines
- 0–210.9%
- 1–29.6%
- 0–19.3%
- 0–38.6%
- 1–18.2%
- 1–37.6%
- 0–45.1%
- 1–44.5%
Team comparison
| Statistic | Venezia FC | SS Lazio |
|---|---|---|
| Matches played | 11 | 11 |
| Points per match | 0.55 | 2.64 |
| Goals per match | 0.73 | 2.27 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.91 | 0.82 |
| Home / away goals scored | 5 | 15 |
| Home / away goals conceded | 11 | 4 |
| Last 5 points | 6 | 13 |
| Last 5 goals scored | 3 | 14 |
| Last 5 goals conceded | 5 | 5 |
| Win percentage | 18% | 82% |
Venezia FC recent form
WLLLW
SS Lazio recent form
WWWWD
Recent form
Venezia FC
0W 0D 4L in the last 4 · 4 scored, 11 conceded
- Lvs ACF Fiorentina2–4
- Lat Frosinone Calcio2–3
- Lat AC Milan0–2
- Lvs US Lecce0–2
SS Lazio
4W 1D 0L in the last 5 · 8 scored, 4 conceded
- Dvs AC Milan2–2
- Wat Udinese Calcio2–1
- Wvs Genoa CFC1–0
- Wat Bologna FC 19091–0
- Wvs AC Pisa 19092–1
Team news
Where to watch (UK)
Serie A matches are typically shown in the UK by TNT Sports. Kick-off is Sat 19 Sept, 19:45 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.
Model transparency
Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 29 August 2026
Last updated: 19 September 2026
Status: Locked
Prediction record
- Matches predicted
- 1000
- 1X2 accuracy
- 49.4%
- BTTS accuracy
- 55.9%
- Over 2.5 accuracy
- 58.6%
- Exact score
- 10.3%
Related predictions
Serie A
Venezia FC vs Bologna FC 1909
Home
15%
Draw
20%
Away
64%
- Predicted score: 0–2Over 2.5: 56%BTTS: 51%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Serie A
US Sassuolo Calcio vs SSC Napoli
Home
20%
Draw
18%
Away
62%
- Predicted score: 1–2Over 2.5: 74%BTTS: 69%
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Serie A
Cagliari Calcio vs AC Milan
Home
16%
Draw
23%
Away
60%
- Predicted score: 0–1Over 2.5: 47%BTTS: 45%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.