Serie A
Parma Calcio 1913 vs AS Roma
Home
8%
Draw
14%
Away
78%
- Predicted score: 0–2Over 2.5: 68%BTTS: 51%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Serie A · Matchweek 4
Venezia FC vs ACF Fiorentina Prediction
Match essentials
- Kick-off (UK)
- Fri 11 Sept, 19:45 (BST)
- Competition
- Serie A
- Round
- Matchweek 4
- Venue
- To be confirmed
United Matchday prediction
Venezia FC win46%
Draw27%
ACF Fiorentina win27%
- Predicted score
- 1–1
- Over 2.5 goals
- 44%
- Under 2.5 goals
- 56%
- BTTS yes
- 48%
- Over 1.5 goals
- 70%
- Over 3.5 goals
- 23%
- BTTS no
- 52%
- Expected goals
- 1.41 – 1.02
Low confidence
Why the model favours this outcome
Venezia FC have scored at a below-average rate at home, which limits the model's home goal expectation. Away defensive numbers work against ACF Fiorentina, who have shipped goals above the Serie A average on the road. Sample size is still small this season, so the model leans more heavily on longer-term ratings and lowers its confidence accordingly.
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.7%
- 1–012.4%
- 0–19.0%
- 2–18.9%
- 0–08.8%
- 2–08.7%
- 1–26.5%
- 0–24.6%
Team comparison
| Statistic | Venezia FC | ACF Fiorentina |
|---|---|---|
| Matches played | 11 | 11 |
| Points per match | 0.55 | 0.82 |
| Goals per match | 0.73 | 1.55 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.91 | 2.27 |
| Home / away goals scored | 5 | 10 |
| Home / away goals conceded | 11 | 12 |
| Last 5 points | 6 | 5 |
| Last 5 goals scored | 3 | 10 |
| Last 5 goals conceded | 5 | 11 |
| Win percentage | 18% | 18% |
Venezia FC recent form
WLLLW
ACF Fiorentina recent form
LLDWD
Recent form
Venezia FC
0W 0D 3L in the last 3 · 2 scored, 7 conceded
- Lat Frosinone Calcio2–3
- Lat AC Milan0–2
- Lvs US Lecce0–2
ACF Fiorentina
1W 1D 3L in the last 5 · 4 scored, 10 conceded
- Lvs Torino FC1–2
- Lvs Frosinone Calcio0–3
- Lat AS Roma0–4
- Dvs Atalanta BC1–1
- Wat Juventus2–0
Where to watch (UK)
Serie A matches are typically shown in the UK by TNT Sports. Kick-off is Fri 11 Sept, 19:45 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.
Model transparency
Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 23 August 2026
Last updated: 11 September 2026
Status: Locked
Prediction record
- Matches predicted
- 1000
- 1X2 accuracy
- 49.4%
- BTTS accuracy
- 55.9%
- Over 2.5 accuracy
- 58.6%
- Exact score
- 10.3%
Related predictions
Serie A
Venezia FC vs Bologna FC 1909
Home
15%
Draw
20%
Away
64%
- Predicted score: 0–2Over 2.5: 56%BTTS: 51%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Serie A
US Sassuolo Calcio vs SSC Napoli
Home
20%
Draw
18%
Away
62%
- Predicted score: 1–2Over 2.5: 74%BTTS: 69%
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Serie A
Cagliari Calcio vs AC Milan
Home
16%
Draw
23%
Away
60%
- Predicted score: 0–1Over 2.5: 47%BTTS: 45%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.