Serie A · Matchweek 4

Venezia FC vs ACF Fiorentina Prediction

Fri 11 Sept, 19:45

Match essentials

Kick-off (UK): Fri 11 Sept, 19:45 (BST)
Competition: Serie A
Round: Matchweek 4
Venue: To be confirmed

United Matchday prediction

Venezia FC win46%

Draw27%

ACF Fiorentina win27%

Predicted score: 1–1
Over 2.5 goals: 44%
Under 2.5 goals: 56%
BTTS yes: 48%

Over 1.5 goals: 70%
Over 3.5 goals: 23%
BTTS no: 52%
Expected goals: 1.41 – 1.02

Low confidence

Why the model favours this outcome

Venezia FC have scored at a below-average rate at home, which limits the model's home goal expectation. Away defensive numbers work against ACF Fiorentina, who have shipped goals above the Serie A average on the road. Sample size is still small this season, so the model leans more heavily on longer-term ratings and lowers its confidence accordingly.

Most likely scorelines

1–112.7%
1–012.4%
0–19.0%
2–18.9%
0–08.8%
2–08.7%
1–26.5%
0–24.6%

Team comparison

Statistic	Venezia FC	ACF Fiorentina
Matches played	5	5
Points per match	0.00	0.80
Goals per match	0.80	1.20
Goals conceded per match	2.60	2.40
Home / away goals scored	2	4
Home / away goals conceded	8	6
Last 5 points	0	4
Last 5 goals scored	4	6
Last 5 goals conceded	13	12
Win percentage	0%	20%

Venezia FC recent form

LLLLL

ACF Fiorentina recent form

LLLWD

Recent form

Venezia FC

0W 0D 3L in the last 3 · 2 scored, 7 conceded

Lat Frosinone Calcio2–3
Lat AC Milan0–2
Lvs US Lecce0–2

ACF Fiorentina

1W 1D 3L in the last 5 · 4 scored, 10 conceded

Lvs Torino FC1–2
Lvs Frosinone Calcio0–3
Lat AS Roma0–4
Dvs Atalanta BC1–1
Wat Juventus2–0

Where to watch (UK)

Serie A matches are typically shown in the UK by TNT Sports. Kick-off is Fri 11 Sept, 19:45 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.