Primera Division · Matchweek 14

Valencia CF vs CA Osasuna Prediction

Match essentials

Kick-off (UK)
Sun 29 Nov, 13:00 (GMT)
Competition
Primera Division
Round
Matchweek 14
Venue
To be confirmed

United Matchday prediction

Valencia CF win39%
Draw25%
CA Osasuna win36%
Predicted score
1–1
Over 2.5 goals
55%
Under 2.5 goals
45%
BTTS yes
58%
Over 1.5 goals
78%
Over 3.5 goals
32%
BTTS no
42%
Expected goals
1.46 – 1.41

High confidence

Why the model favours this outcome

Valencia CF have scored at a below-average rate at home, which limits the model's home goal expectation. Away defensive numbers work against CA Osasuna, who have shipped goals above the Primera Division average on the road. Statistically the two sides are closely matched, so the draw probability stays comparatively high.

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–111.7%
  • 2–18.5%
  • 1–08.3%
  • 1–28.2%
  • 0–18.0%
  • 2–06.1%
  • 2–26.0%
  • 0–05.7%

Team comparison

StatisticValencia CFCA Osasuna
Matches played1212
Points per match0.751.00
Goals per match0.671.00
Goals conceded per match1.671.92
Home / away goals scored37
Home / away goals conceded1419
Last 5 points54
Last 5 goals scored46
Last 5 goals conceded710
Win percentage17%25%

Valencia CF recent form

DDLWL

CA Osasuna recent form

LWLLD

Recent form

Valencia CF

1W 2D 2L in the last 5 · 4 scored, 7 conceded

  • Lvs Real Madrid0–3
  • Wat Elche CF1–0
  • Lvs Villarreal CF1–2
  • Dvs Athletic Club0–0
  • Dat Real Racing Club de Santander2–2

CA Osasuna

1W 1D 3L in the last 5 · 6 scored, 10 conceded

  • Dvs Athletic Club1–1
  • Lat RC Deportivo La Coruña1–2
  • Lat Sevilla FC0–2
  • Wvs Real Racing Club de Santander2–0
  • Lat Real Betis Balompié2–5

Model transparency

Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 8 November 2026
Last updated: 13 November 2026
Status: Live

How predictions work

Prediction record

Matches predicted
1000
1X2 accuracy
49.4%
BTTS accuracy
55.9%
Over 2.5 accuracy
58.6%
Exact score
10.3%

Related predictions

Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.