Primera Division
Málaga CF vs RCD Espanyol de Barcelona
Home
27%
Draw
28%
Away
45%
- Predicted score: 0–1Over 2.5: 40%BTTS: 46%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Primera Division · Matchweek 9
Valencia CF vs Athletic Club Prediction
Match essentials
- Kick-off (UK)
- Sat 17 Oct, 20:00 (BST)
- Competition
- Primera Division
- Round
- Matchweek 9
- Venue
- To be confirmed
United Matchday prediction
Valencia CF win21%
Draw25%
Athletic Club win54%
- Predicted score
- 0–1
- Over 2.5 goals
- 44%
- Under 2.5 goals
- 56%
- BTTS yes
- 46%
- Over 1.5 goals
- 70%
- Over 3.5 goals
- 23%
- BTTS no
- 54%
- Expected goals
- 0.87 – 1.58
Medium confidence
Why the model favours this outcome
Valencia CF have scored at a below-average rate at home, which limits the model's home goal expectation. Athletic Club have defended well on the road, conceding less often than the average travelling side.
Most likely scorelines
- 0–113.6%
- 1–111.8%
- 0–210.8%
- 1–29.4%
- 0–08.6%
- 1–07.5%
- 0–35.7%
- 2–15.2%
Team comparison
| Statistic | Valencia CF | Athletic Club |
|---|---|---|
| Matches played | 7 | 6 |
| Points per match | 0.57 | 1.33 |
| Goals per match | 0.57 | 1.17 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.86 | 1.00 |
| Home / away goals scored | 2 | 2 |
| Home / away goals conceded | 9 | 2 |
| Last 5 points | 3 | 8 |
| Last 5 goals scored | 4 | 6 |
| Last 5 goals conceded | 12 | 3 |
| Win percentage | 14% | 33% |
Valencia CF recent form
LLLWL
Athletic Club recent form
LWWDD
Recent form
Valencia CF
1W 0D 4L in the last 5 · 4 scored, 12 conceded
- Lvs Real Sociedad de Fútbol2–3
- Wat Deportivo Alavés1–0
- Lat Sevilla FC0–1
- Lvs Barcelona0–5
- Lat RC Deportivo La Coruña1–3
Athletic Club
2W 2D 1L in the last 5 · 6 scored, 3 conceded
- Dvs Deportivo Alavés0–0
- Dvs Elche CF1–1
- Wvs Atlético Madrid3–0
- Wat RC Celta de Vigo2–0
- Lat Barcelona0–2
Model transparency
Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 26 September 2026
Last updated: 29 September 2026
Status: Live
Prediction record
- Matches predicted
- 510
- 1X2 accuracy
- 46.9%
- BTTS accuracy
- 57.5%
- Over 2.5 accuracy
- 58.8%
- Exact score
- 10.6%
Related predictions
Primera Division
Real Racing Club de Santander vs Valencia CF
Home
53%
Draw
22%
Away
25%
- Predicted score: 1–1Over 2.5: 62%BTTS: 61%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Primera Division
Levante UD vs Sevilla FC
Home
35%
Draw
21%
Away
44%
- Predicted score: 1–2Over 2.5: 73%BTTS: 72%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Primera Division
CA Osasuna vs Real Racing Club de Santander
Home
51%
Draw
23%
Away
26%
- Predicted score: 1–1Over 2.5: 60%BTTS: 60%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.