Primera Division
Deportivo Alavés vs RC Deportivo La Coruña
Home
35%
Draw
27%
Away
38%
- Predicted score: 1–1Over 2.5: 45%BTTS: 51%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Primera Division · Matchweek 9
Valencia CF vs Athletic Club Prediction
Match essentials
- Kick-off (UK)
- Sat 17 Oct, 20:00 (BST)
- Competition
- Primera Division
- Round
- Matchweek 9
- Venue
- To be confirmed
United Matchday prediction
Valencia CF win21%
Draw25%
Athletic Club win54%
- Predicted score
- 0–1
- Over 2.5 goals
- 45%
- Under 2.5 goals
- 55%
- BTTS yes
- 47%
- Over 1.5 goals
- 71%
- Over 3.5 goals
- 24%
- BTTS no
- 53%
- Expected goals
- 0.89 – 1.60
Medium confidence
Why the model favours this outcome
Valencia CF have scored at a below-average rate at home, which limits the model's home goal expectation. Athletic Club have defended well on the road, conceding less often than the average travelling side.
Most likely scorelines
- 0–113.2%
- 1–111.8%
- 0–210.6%
- 1–29.4%
- 0–08.3%
- 1–07.4%
- 0–35.6%
- 2–15.3%
Team comparison
| Statistic | Valencia CF | Athletic Club |
|---|---|---|
| Matches played | 12 | 11 |
| Points per match | 0.75 | 1.45 |
| Goals per match | 0.67 | 1.36 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.67 | 1.00 |
| Home / away goals scored | 3 | 4 |
| Home / away goals conceded | 14 | 6 |
| Last 5 points | 5 | 8 |
| Last 5 goals scored | 4 | 8 |
| Last 5 goals conceded | 7 | 5 |
| Win percentage | 17% | 36% |
Valencia CF recent form
DDLWL
Athletic Club recent form
DLWWD
Recent form
Valencia CF
1W 1D 3L in the last 5 · 5 scored, 11 conceded
- Dat Real Racing Club de Santander2–2
- Lvs Real Sociedad de Fútbol2–3
- Wat Deportivo Alavés1–0
- Lat Sevilla FC0–1
- Lvs Barcelona0–5
Athletic Club
2W 2D 1L in the last 5 · 6 scored, 3 conceded
- Dvs Deportivo Alavés0–0
- Dvs Elche CF1–1
- Wvs Atlético Madrid3–0
- Wat RC Celta de Vigo2–0
- Lat Barcelona0–2
Model transparency
Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 26 September 2026
Last updated: 17 October 2026
Status: Locked
Prediction record
- Matches predicted
- 1000
- 1X2 accuracy
- 49.4%
- BTTS accuracy
- 55.9%
- Over 2.5 accuracy
- 58.6%
- Exact score
- 10.3%
Related predictions
Primera Division
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs Valencia CF
Home
47%
Draw
26%
Away
27%
- Predicted score: 1–1Over 2.5: 49%BTTS: 52%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Primera Division
Real Madrid vs RC Celta de Vigo
Home
80%
Draw
15%
Away
5%
- Predicted score: 2–0Over 2.5: 50%BTTS: 31%
High confidenceFull prediction
Primera Division
CA Osasuna vs Málaga CF
Home
50%
Draw
28%
Away
22%
- Predicted score: 1–0Over 2.5: 36%BTTS: 40%
High confidenceFull prediction
Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.