Serie A
Genoa CFC vs ACF Fiorentina
Home
30%
Draw
23%
Away
47%
- Predicted score: 1–1Over 2.5: 64%BTTS: 64%
Low confidenceFull prediction
Serie A · Matchweek 4
US Sassuolo Calcio vs Juventus Prediction
Match essentials
- Kick-off (UK)
- Sun 13 Sept, 19:45 (BST)
- Competition
- Serie A
- Round
- Matchweek 4
- Venue
- To be confirmed
United Matchday prediction
US Sassuolo Calcio win27%
Draw26%
Juventus win47%
- Predicted score
- 1–1
- Over 2.5 goals
- 48%
- Under 2.5 goals
- 52%
- BTTS yes
- 51%
- Over 1.5 goals
- 73%
- Over 3.5 goals
- 26%
- BTTS no
- 49%
- Expected goals
- 1.08 – 1.50
Low confidence
Why the model favours this outcome
Home scoring numbers favour US Sassuolo Calcio, who have created goals at an above-average rate in front of their own crowd. Juventus have defended well on the road, conceding less often than the average travelling side. Juventus arrive in stronger recent form, which the model weights alongside season-long numbers. Sample size is still small this season, so the model leans more heavily on longer-term ratings and lowers its confidence accordingly.
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.3%
- 0–111.3%
- 1–29.2%
- 0–28.5%
- 1–08.1%
- 0–07.5%
- 2–16.6%
- 2–25.0%
Team comparison
| Statistic | US Sassuolo Calcio | Juventus |
|---|---|---|
| Matches played | 5 | 5 |
| Points per match | 1.40 | 2.00 |
| Goals per match | 1.80 | 1.60 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.80 | 0.80 |
| Home / away goals scored | 5 | 3 |
| Home / away goals conceded | 3 | 3 |
| Last 5 points | 7 | 10 |
| Last 5 goals scored | 9 | 8 |
| Last 5 goals conceded | 9 | 4 |
| Win percentage | 40% | 60% |
US Sassuolo Calcio recent form
LWDWL
Juventus recent form
WWDLW
Recent form
US Sassuolo Calcio
1W 1D 3L in the last 5 · 7 scored, 9 conceded
- Dat Bologna FC 19092–2
- Wvs Torino FC2–1
- Lat Atalanta BC1–2
- Lat Parma Calcio 19130–1
- Lvs US Lecce2–3
Juventus
2W 2D 1L in the last 5 · 6 scored, 5 conceded
- Dvs AC Milan1–1
- Wvs Parma Calcio 19132–0
- Wat Frosinone Calcio1–0
- Dat Torino FC2–2
- Lvs ACF Fiorentina0–2
Team news
Where to watch (UK)
Serie A matches are typically shown in the UK by TNT Sports. Kick-off is Sun 13 Sept, 19:45 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.
Model transparency
Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 23 August 2026
Last updated: 13 September 2026
Status: Locked
Prediction record
- Matches predicted
- 510
- 1X2 accuracy
- 46.9%
- BTTS accuracy
- 57.5%
- Over 2.5 accuracy
- 58.8%
- Exact score
- 10.6%
Related predictions
Serie A
US Lecce vs Bologna FC 1909
Home
39%
Draw
28%
Away
34%
- Predicted score: 1–1Over 2.5: 43%BTTS: 49%
Low confidenceFull prediction
Serie A
Cagliari Calcio vs Juventus
Home
36%
Draw
28%
Away
36%
- Predicted score: 1–1Over 2.5: 40%BTTS: 47%
Low confidenceFull prediction
Serie A
Udinese Calcio vs US Lecce
Home
42%
Draw
26%
Away
32%
- Predicted score: 1–1Over 2.5: 47%BTTS: 52%
Low confidenceFull prediction
Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.