Serie A · Matchweek 12

US Sassuolo Calcio vs Genoa CFC Prediction

Match essentials

Kick-off (UK)
Sun 22 Nov, 14:00 (GMT)
Competition
Serie A
Round
Matchweek 12
Venue
To be confirmed

United Matchday prediction

US Sassuolo Calcio win31%
Draw23%
Genoa CFC win46%
Predicted score
1–1
Over 2.5 goals
65%
Under 2.5 goals
35%
BTTS yes
65%
Over 1.5 goals
84%
Over 3.5 goals
43%
BTTS no
35%
Expected goals
1.48 – 1.84

Medium confidence

Why the model favours this outcome

Combined attacking and defensive numbers point toward a higher-scoring game than average. Genoa CFC arrive in stronger recent form, which the model weights alongside season-long numbers.

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–19.8%
  • 1–29.1%
  • 2–17.3%
  • 2–26.7%
  • 0–16.6%
  • 0–26.1%
  • 1–35.6%
  • 1–05.3%

Team comparison

StatisticUS Sassuolo CalcioGenoa CFC
Matches played1111
Points per match0.731.18
Goals per match1.451.00
Goals conceded per match2.641.45
Home / away goals scored103
Home / away goals conceded146
Last 5 points09
Last 5 goals scored66
Last 5 goals conceded195
Win percentage18%36%

US Sassuolo Calcio recent form

LLLLL

Genoa CFC recent form

LWWWL

Recent form

US Sassuolo Calcio

0W 0D 5L in the last 5 · 6 scored, 19 conceded

  • Lat AS Roma0–3
  • Lvs ACF Fiorentina2–4
  • Lvs SS Lazio2–6
  • Lat Como 19070–2
  • Lat Frosinone Calcio2–4

Genoa CFC

3W 0D 2L in the last 5 · 6 scored, 5 conceded

  • Lvs AC Milan1–2
  • Wat US Lecce2–1
  • Wvs Juventus2–0
  • Wvs Venezia FC1–0
  • Lat AS Roma0–2

Where to watch (UK)

Serie A matches are typically shown in the UK by TNT Sports. Kick-off is Sun 22 Nov, 14:00 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.

Model transparency

Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 1 November 2026
Last updated: 13 November 2026
Status: Live

How predictions work

Prediction record

Matches predicted
1000
1X2 accuracy
49.4%
BTTS accuracy
55.9%
Over 2.5 accuracy
58.6%
Exact score
10.3%

Related predictions

Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.