Serie A
Parma Calcio 1913 vs AS Roma
Home
8%
Draw
14%
Away
78%
- Predicted score: 0–2Over 2.5: 68%BTTS: 51%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Serie A · Matchweek 6
US Sassuolo Calcio vs AC Milan Prediction
Match essentials
- Kick-off (UK)
- Sun 11 Oct, 17:00 (BST)
- Competition
- Serie A
- Round
- Matchweek 6
- Venue
- To be confirmed
United Matchday prediction
US Sassuolo Calcio win35%
Draw22%
AC Milan win44%
- Predicted score
- 1–1
- Over 2.5 goals
- 69%
- Under 2.5 goals
- 31%
- BTTS yes
- 69%
- Over 1.5 goals
- 87%
- Over 3.5 goals
- 48%
- BTTS no
- 31%
- Expected goals
- 1.68 – 1.90
Low confidence
Why the model favours this outcome
US Sassuolo Calcio have produced a stronger-than-average attacking record at home in this competition. AC Milan have defended well on the road, conceding less often than the average travelling side. AC Milan's travelling attack has outperformed the competition average. Combined attacking and defensive numbers point toward a higher-scoring game than average.
Most likely scorelines
- 1–18.9%
- 1–28.5%
- 2–17.5%
- 2–27.1%
- 1–35.4%
- 0–15.3%
- 0–25.0%
- 1–04.7%
Team comparison
| Statistic | US Sassuolo Calcio | AC Milan |
|---|---|---|
| Matches played | 11 | 11 |
| Points per match | 0.73 | 2.18 |
| Goals per match | 1.45 | 2.09 |
| Goals conceded per match | 2.64 | 1.18 |
| Home / away goals scored | 10 | 10 |
| Home / away goals conceded | 14 | 6 |
| Last 5 points | 0 | 12 |
| Last 5 goals scored | 6 | 12 |
| Last 5 goals conceded | 19 | 8 |
| Win percentage | 18% | 64% |
US Sassuolo Calcio recent form
LLLLL
AC Milan recent form
WWLWW
Recent form
US Sassuolo Calcio
2W 1D 2L in the last 5 · 9 scored, 9 conceded
- Lat AC Monza1–2
- Wvs Juventus3–2
- Dat Bologna FC 19092–2
- Wvs Torino FC2–1
- Lat Atalanta BC1–2
AC Milan
3W 2D 0L in the last 5 · 10 scored, 4 conceded
- Wvs US Lecce3–0
- Dat SS Lazio2–2
- Dat Juventus1–1
- Wvs Venezia FC2–0
- Wat Torino FC2–1
Where to watch (UK)
Serie A matches are typically shown in the UK by TNT Sports. Kick-off is Sun 11 Oct, 17:00 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.
Model transparency
Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 20 September 2026
Last updated: 11 October 2026
Status: Locked
Prediction record
- Matches predicted
- 1000
- 1X2 accuracy
- 49.4%
- BTTS accuracy
- 55.9%
- Over 2.5 accuracy
- 58.6%
- Exact score
- 10.3%
Related predictions
Serie A
Venezia FC vs Bologna FC 1909
Home
15%
Draw
20%
Away
64%
- Predicted score: 0–2Over 2.5: 56%BTTS: 51%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Serie A
US Sassuolo Calcio vs SSC Napoli
Home
20%
Draw
18%
Away
62%
- Predicted score: 1–2Over 2.5: 74%BTTS: 69%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Serie A
Cagliari Calcio vs AC Milan
Home
16%
Draw
23%
Away
60%
- Predicted score: 0–1Over 2.5: 47%BTTS: 45%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.