Serie A · Matchweek 6

US Sassuolo Calcio vs AC Milan Prediction

Match essentials

Kick-off (UK)
Sun 11 Oct, 17:00 (BST)
Competition
Serie A
Round
Matchweek 6
Venue
To be confirmed

United Matchday prediction

US Sassuolo Calcio win34%
Draw22%
AC Milan win44%
Predicted score
1–1
Over 2.5 goals
69%
Under 2.5 goals
31%
BTTS yes
69%
Over 1.5 goals
87%
Over 3.5 goals
48%
BTTS no
31%
Expected goals
1.67 – 1.90

Low confidence

Why the model favours this outcome

US Sassuolo Calcio have produced a stronger-than-average attacking record at home in this competition. AC Milan have defended well on the road, conceding less often than the average travelling side. AC Milan's travelling attack has outperformed the competition average. Combined attacking and defensive numbers point toward a higher-scoring game than average.

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–18.9%
  • 1–28.5%
  • 2–17.5%
  • 2–27.1%
  • 1–35.4%
  • 0–15.3%
  • 0–25.1%
  • 1–04.7%

Team comparison

StatisticUS Sassuolo CalcioAC Milan
Matches played55
Points per match1.402.20
Goals per match1.802.00
Goals conceded per match1.800.80
Home / away goals scored55
Home / away goals conceded34
Last 5 points711
Last 5 goals scored910
Last 5 goals conceded94
Win percentage40%60%

US Sassuolo Calcio recent form

LWDWL

AC Milan recent form

WWDDW

Recent form

US Sassuolo Calcio

2W 1D 2L in the last 5 · 9 scored, 9 conceded

  • Lat AC Monza1–2
  • Wvs Juventus3–2
  • Dat Bologna FC 19092–2
  • Wvs Torino FC2–1
  • Lat Atalanta BC1–2

AC Milan

3W 2D 0L in the last 5 · 10 scored, 4 conceded

  • Wvs US Lecce3–0
  • Dat SS Lazio2–2
  • Dat Juventus1–1
  • Wvs Venezia FC2–0
  • Wat Torino FC2–1

Where to watch (UK)

Serie A matches are typically shown in the UK by TNT Sports. Kick-off is Sun 11 Oct, 17:00 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.

Model transparency

Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 20 September 2026
Last updated: 29 September 2026
Status: Live

How predictions work

Prediction record

Matches predicted
510
1X2 accuracy
46.9%
BTTS accuracy
57.5%
Over 2.5 accuracy
58.8%
Exact score
10.6%

Related predictions

Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.