Serie A
Parma Calcio 1913 vs AS Roma
Home
8%
Draw
14%
Away
78%
- Predicted score: 0–2Over 2.5: 68%BTTS: 51%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Serie A · Matchweek 13
US Lecce vs Atalanta BC Prediction
Match essentials
- Kick-off (UK)
- Mon 30 Nov, 17:30 (GMT)
- Competition
- Serie A
- Round
- Matchweek 13
- Venue
- To be confirmed
United Matchday prediction
US Lecce win27%
Draw22%
Atalanta BC win51%
- Predicted score
- 1–1
- Over 2.5 goals
- 63%
- Under 2.5 goals
- 37%
- BTTS yes
- 63%
- Over 1.5 goals
- 84%
- Over 3.5 goals
- 41%
- BTTS no
- 37%
- Expected goals
- 1.34 – 1.92
Medium confidence
Why the model favours this outcome
The model sees US Lecce's home attacking output as weaker than the Serie A baseline. Atalanta BC have conceded at a higher rate away from home than the competition average. The model expects a relatively open scoring environment in this match.
Most likely scorelines
- 1–19.9%
- 1–29.5%
- 0–17.4%
- 0–27.1%
- 2–16.6%
- 2–26.4%
- 1–36.1%
- 1–05.1%
Team comparison
| Statistic | US Lecce | Atalanta BC |
|---|---|---|
| Matches played | 11 | 11 |
| Points per match | 0.91 | 1.27 |
| Goals per match | 1.09 | 1.55 |
| Goals conceded per match | 2.00 | 1.82 |
| Home / away goals scored | 5 | 6 |
| Home / away goals conceded | 12 | 9 |
| Last 5 points | 4 | 5 |
| Last 5 goals scored | 6 | 9 |
| Last 5 goals conceded | 10 | 12 |
| Win percentage | 27% | 36% |
US Lecce recent form
WLLLD
Atalanta BC recent form
LDDLW
Recent form
US Lecce
1W 1D 3L in the last 5 · 6 scored, 10 conceded
- Dat Torino FC1–1
- Lvs Genoa CFC1–2
- Lat Frosinone Calcio1–5
- Lvs Juventus0–2
- Wat Udinese Calcio3–0
Atalanta BC
1W 2D 2L in the last 5 · 9 scored, 12 conceded
- Wat AC Monza1–0
- Lvs Parma Calcio 19130–3
- Dat ACF Fiorentina2–2
- Dvs Frosinone Calcio4–4
- Lat AC Milan2–3
Where to watch (UK)
Serie A matches are typically shown in the UK by TNT Sports. Kick-off is Mon 30 Nov, 17:30 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.
Model transparency
Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 9 November 2026
Last updated: 13 November 2026
Status: Live
Prediction record
- Matches predicted
- 1000
- 1X2 accuracy
- 49.4%
- BTTS accuracy
- 55.9%
- Over 2.5 accuracy
- 58.6%
- Exact score
- 10.3%
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Venezia FC vs Bologna FC 1909
Home
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Draw
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Away
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- Predicted score: 0–2Over 2.5: 56%BTTS: 51%
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US Sassuolo Calcio vs SSC Napoli
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Draw
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Away
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Cagliari Calcio vs AC Milan
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Draw
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Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.